The active April 2026 federal indictment against former FBI Director James Comey on charges of threatening President Trump remains in place, with the Department of Justice pursuing the case through the Eastern District of North Carolina and no official dismissal or nolle prosequi filed by the May 31 deadline. Traders assign a 99.4% probability to “No” because the prosecution continues without procedural termination, consistent with the administration’s public commitment to the matter and ongoing appellate activity in related proceedings. A court appearance was conditionally canceled in early May, and the lead prosecutor has stepped away, yet these developments have not altered the active status of the charges. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late judicial ruling finding the indictment deficient or an unexpected executive branch decision to drop the matter before any final resolution window closes.