The highly contested Republican primary in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District between incumbent Representative Thomas Massie and Trump-endorsed challenger Ed Gallrein drove elevated voter engagement, resulting in total turnout of approximately 105,000 ballots. National attention, substantial outside spending, and the race's status as one of the most expensive House primaries on record mobilized participation well above prior cycles, such as the roughly 52,000 votes cast in the 2024 primary. Official results confirmed Gallrein securing the nomination with about 55 percent, consistent with trader expectations for the 100-110k range. Scenarios that could have altered this outcome included significantly lower mobilization in rural counties or unexpected shifts in early and absentee voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout
100-110k 99.7%
80-90k 1.0%
120k+ <1%
<80k <1%
$48,107 Объем
$48,107 Объем
<80k
<1%
80-90k
1%
90-100k
<1%
100-110k
100%
110-120k
<1%
120k+
<1%
100-110k 99.7%
80-90k 1.0%
120k+ <1%
<80k <1%
$48,107 Объем
$48,107 Объем
<80k
<1%
80-90k
1%
90-100k
<1%
100-110k
100%
110-120k
<1%
120k+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: May 18, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The highly contested Republican primary in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District between incumbent Representative Thomas Massie and Trump-endorsed challenger Ed Gallrein drove elevated voter engagement, resulting in total turnout of approximately 105,000 ballots. National attention, substantial outside spending, and the race's status as one of the most expensive House primaries on record mobilized participation well above prior cycles, such as the roughly 52,000 votes cast in the 2024 primary. Official results confirmed Gallrein securing the nomination with about 55 percent, consistent with trader expectations for the 100-110k range. Scenarios that could have altered this outcome included significantly lower mobilization in rural counties or unexpected shifts in early and absentee voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы