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icon for KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

icon for KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

100-110k 99.7%

80-90k 1.0%

120k+ <1%

<80k <1%

Polymarket

$48,107 Объем

100-110k 99.7%

80-90k 1.0%

120k+ <1%

<80k <1%

Polymarket

$48,107 Объем

<80k

$5,312 Объем

<1%

80-90k

$4,063 Объем

1%

90-100k

$2,741 Объем

<1%

100-110k

$13,470 Объем

100%

110-120k

$7,064 Объем

<1%

120k+

$15,456 Объем

<1%

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026 This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The highly contested Republican primary in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District between incumbent Representative Thomas Massie and Trump-endorsed challenger Ed Gallrein drove elevated voter engagement, resulting in total turnout of approximately 105,000 ballots. National attention, substantial outside spending, and the race's status as one of the most expensive House primaries on record mobilized participation well above prior cycles, such as the roughly 52,000 votes cast in the 2024 primary. Official results confirmed Gallrein securing the nomination with about 55 percent, consistent with trader expectations for the 100-110k range. Scenarios that could have altered this outcome included significantly lower mobilization in rural counties or unexpected shifts in early and absentee voting patterns.

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Объем
$48,107
Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026 This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026 This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The highly contested Republican primary in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District between incumbent Representative Thomas Massie and Trump-endorsed challenger Ed Gallrein drove elevated voter engagement, resulting in total turnout of approximately 105,000 ballots. National attention, substantial outside spending, and the race's status as one of the most expensive House primaries on record mobilized participation well above prior cycles, such as the roughly 52,000 votes cast in the 2024 primary. Official results confirmed Gallrein securing the nomination with about 55 percent, consistent with trader expectations for the 100-110k range. Scenarios that could have altered this outcome included significantly lower mobilization in rural counties or unexpected shifts in early and absentee voting patterns.

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Объем
$48,107
Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026 This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «100-110k» с 100%, за ним следует «80-90k» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $48.1K с момента запуска рынка May 18, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout» — «100-110k» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «80-90k» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.