The deep and evenly matched field at the upcoming LIV Golf New York event at Trump National Golf Club Bedminster has produced tightly bunched implied probabilities, with no single player exceeding 46.5% trader consensus. A full roster of 57 players, headlined by major winners Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, Joaquin Niemann, Cameron Smith, and Dustin Johnson alongside consistent performers like Lee Westwood and Talor Gooch, creates parity on a course that rewards accurate ball-striking and course management. Recent team standings and individual form across the 2026 season show multiple contenders arriving with comparable recent results and prior Bedminster experience, while the 54-hole individual format and potential for variable weather or momentum shifts further compress the market. This setup highlights the inherent unpredictability of stroke-play outcomes in a high-caliber LIV field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMartin Vorster 84%
Jon Rahm 83%
Lucas Herbert 81%
David Puig 80%
Martin Vorster
84%
Jon Rahm
83%
Lucas Herbert
81%
David Puig
80%
Bryson DeChambeau
80%
Tyrrell Hatton
79%
Lee Westwood
46%
Bjoern Hellgren
46%
Joaquin Niemann
46%
Byeong-Hun An
46%
Talor Gooch
46%
Yosuke Asaji
46%
Min-Kyu Kim
46%
Paul Casey
43%
Sebastian Munoz
43%
Thomas Detry
43%
Abraham Ancer
43%
Anirban Lahiri
43%
Anthony Kim
43%
Branden Grace
43%
Bubba Watson
43%
Caleb Surratt
43%
Graeme McDowell
43%
Louis Oosthuizen
43%
Michael La Sasso
42%
Cameron Tringale
42%
Thomas Pieters
42%
Harold Varner III
42%
Jose Luis Ballester
42%
Richard T. Lee
42%
Scott Vincent
42%
Marc Leishman
42%
Martin Kaymer
42%
Peter Uihlein
42%
Phil Mickelson
42%
Sam Horsfield
42%
Tom McKibbin
42%
Young-Han Song
42%
Adrian Meronk
42%
Ben Campbell
42%
Brendan Steele
42%
Laurie Canter
42%
Luis Masaveu
42%
Dean Burmester
42%
Miguel Tabuena
41%
Travis Smyth
41%
Victor Perez
41%
Sergio Garcia
41%
Richard Bland
41%
Cameron Smith
39%
Carlos Ortiz
37%
Charl Schwartzel
37%
Charles Howell III
37%
Danny Lee
37%
Matthew Wolff
36%
Do-Yeob Mun
36%
Dustin Johnson
35%
Elvis Smylie
35%
Ian Poulter
35%
Jason Kokrak
33%
Martin Vorster 84%
Jon Rahm 83%
Lucas Herbert 81%
David Puig 80%
Martin Vorster
84%
Jon Rahm
83%
Lucas Herbert
81%
David Puig
80%
Bryson DeChambeau
80%
Tyrrell Hatton
79%
Lee Westwood
46%
Bjoern Hellgren
46%
Joaquin Niemann
46%
Byeong-Hun An
46%
Talor Gooch
46%
Yosuke Asaji
46%
Min-Kyu Kim
46%
Paul Casey
43%
Sebastian Munoz
43%
Thomas Detry
43%
Abraham Ancer
43%
Anirban Lahiri
43%
Anthony Kim
43%
Branden Grace
43%
Bubba Watson
43%
Caleb Surratt
43%
Graeme McDowell
43%
Louis Oosthuizen
43%
Michael La Sasso
42%
Cameron Tringale
42%
Thomas Pieters
42%
Harold Varner III
42%
Jose Luis Ballester
42%
Richard T. Lee
42%
Scott Vincent
42%
Marc Leishman
42%
Martin Kaymer
42%
Peter Uihlein
42%
Phil Mickelson
42%
Sam Horsfield
42%
Tom McKibbin
42%
Young-Han Song
42%
Adrian Meronk
42%
Ben Campbell
42%
Brendan Steele
42%
Laurie Canter
42%
Luis Masaveu
42%
Dean Burmester
42%
Miguel Tabuena
41%
Travis Smyth
41%
Victor Perez
41%
Sergio Garcia
41%
Richard Bland
41%
Cameron Smith
39%
Carlos Ortiz
37%
Charl Schwartzel
37%
Charles Howell III
37%
Danny Lee
37%
Matthew Wolff
36%
Do-Yeob Mun
36%
Dustin Johnson
35%
Elvis Smylie
35%
Ian Poulter
35%
Jason Kokrak
33%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.livgolf.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.livgolf.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The deep and evenly matched field at the upcoming LIV Golf New York event at Trump National Golf Club Bedminster has produced tightly bunched implied probabilities, with no single player exceeding 46.5% trader consensus. A full roster of 57 players, headlined by major winners Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, Joaquin Niemann, Cameron Smith, and Dustin Johnson alongside consistent performers like Lee Westwood and Talor Gooch, creates parity on a course that rewards accurate ball-striking and course management. Recent team standings and individual form across the 2026 season show multiple contenders arriving with comparable recent results and prior Bedminster experience, while the 54-hole individual format and potential for variable weather or momentum shifts further compress the market. This setup highlights the inherent unpredictability of stroke-play outcomes in a high-caliber LIV field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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