Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Dallas indicate a Tuesday night minimum in the lower-to-mid 80s under continued high pressure, clear skies, and southerly winds of 5–10 mph. Persistent heat advection and elevated dew points limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the low near 83–85 °F at official stations such as Dallas Love Field. With the market’s top two bins (84–85 °F and 86–87 °F) nearly tied, traders are pricing in small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover that could alter the exact overnight low by a degree or two. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum reported by NOAA.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 25?
78-79°F 77%
84-85°F 48%
80-81°F 47%
82-83°F 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
23%
78-79°F
77%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
47%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
46%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
13%
96°F or higher
7%
78-79°F 77%
84-85°F 48%
80-81°F 47%
82-83°F 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$5 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$15 Vol.
77%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
47%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
47%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
48%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
47%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
46%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$5 Vol.
14%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
13%
96°F or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Dallas indicate a Tuesday night minimum in the lower-to-mid 80s under continued high pressure, clear skies, and southerly winds of 5–10 mph. Persistent heat advection and elevated dew points limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the low near 83–85 °F at official stations such as Dallas Love Field. With the market’s top two bins (84–85 °F and 86–87 °F) nearly tied, traders are pricing in small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover that could alter the exact overnight low by a degree or two. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum reported by NOAA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Dallas indicate a Tuesday night minimum in the lower-to-mid 80s under continued high pressure, clear skies, and southerly winds of 5–10 mph. Persistent heat advection and elevated dew points limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the low near 83–85 °F at official stations such as Dallas Love Field. With the market’s top two bins (84–85 °F and 86–87 °F) nearly tied, traders are pricing in small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover that could alter the exact overnight low by a degree or two. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum reported by NOAA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Dallas indicate a Tuesday night minimum in the lower-to-mid 80s under continued high pressure, clear skies, and southerly winds of 5–10 mph. Persistent heat advection and elevated dew points limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the low near 83–85 °F at official stations such as Dallas Love Field. With the market’s top two bins (84–85 °F and 86–87 °F) nearly tied, traders are pricing in small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud cover that could alter the exact overnight low by a degree or two. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum reported by NOAA.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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