Recent forecast guidance from UK Met Office and European models shows London overnight lows on June 29 settling near 14–15 °C after a mid-month warm spell that pushed daytime highs into the high 20s. Persistent south-westerly flow and gradual clearing behind earlier fronts are allowing radiational cooling under lighter winds and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological June minimums of 12–15 °C. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, with limited downside risk from further cooling or upside from lingering warmth, supporting the market’s heavy concentration on 14 °C (53 %) and 15 °C (41 %). Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 29?
Lowest temperature in London on June 29?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$46,240 Vol.
$46,240 Vol.
Jun 29, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$46,240 Vol.
$46,240 Vol.
Jun 29, 2026
12°C or below
$2,128 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,860 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,549 Vol.
No
15°C
$7,538 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$10,385 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,444 Vol.
No
18°C
$870 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,776 Vol.
No
20°C
$795 Vol.
No
21°C
$687 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$209 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from UK Met Office and European models shows London overnight lows on June 29 settling near 14–15 °C after a mid-month warm spell that pushed daytime highs into the high 20s. Persistent south-westerly flow and gradual clearing behind earlier fronts are allowing radiational cooling under lighter winds and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological June minimums of 12–15 °C. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, with limited downside risk from further cooling or upside from lingering warmth, supporting the market’s heavy concentration on 14 °C (53 %) and 15 °C (41 %). Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$46,240End Date
Jun 29, 2026Market Opened
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from UK Met Office and European models shows London overnight lows on June 29 settling near 14–15 °C after a mid-month warm spell that pushed daytime highs into the high 20s. Persistent south-westerly flow and gradual clearing behind earlier fronts are allowing radiational cooling under lighter winds and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological June minimums of 12–15 °C. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, with limited downside risk from further cooling or upside from lingering warmth, supporting the market’s heavy concentration on 14 °C (53 %) and 15 °C (41 %). Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,240End Date
Jun 29, 2026Market Opened
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast guidance from UK Met Office and European models shows London overnight lows on June 29 settling near 14–15 °C after a mid-month warm spell that pushed daytime highs into the high 20s. Persistent south-westerly flow and gradual clearing behind earlier fronts are allowing radiational cooling under lighter winds and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological June minimums of 12–15 °C. Ensemble spreads remain tight around these values, with limited downside risk from further cooling or upside from lingering warmth, supporting the market’s heavy concentration on 14 °C (53 %) and 15 °C (41 %). Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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