Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 72-73°F as the lowest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 26, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's (NWS) official daily minimum observation from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) there. This aligns with climatological norms for late April—average lows around 72°F—under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (peaking at 12 mph), and dew points near 70°F that trapped heat and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, aided by Miami's urban heat island effect. No precipitation fell, but morning showers earlier in the week maintained humid conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from equipment audits, as NWS quality control is rigorous; next CLI report expected April 27 confirms finality.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on April 26?
Lowest temperature in Miami on April 26?
72-73°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$30,194 Vol.
$30,194 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$30,194 Vol.
$30,194 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
65°F or below
$693 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$761 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,281 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,566 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$3,163 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$3,990 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$521 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,476 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,871 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$6,202 Vol.
No
84°F or higher
$8,669 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 72-73°F as the lowest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 26, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's (NWS) official daily minimum observation from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) there. This aligns with climatological norms for late April—average lows around 72°F—under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (peaking at 12 mph), and dew points near 70°F that trapped heat and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, aided by Miami's urban heat island effect. No precipitation fell, but morning showers earlier in the week maintained humid conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from equipment audits, as NWS quality control is rigorous; next CLI report expected April 27 confirms finality.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$30,194End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 72-73°F as the lowest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 26, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's (NWS) official daily minimum observation from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) there. This aligns with climatological norms for late April—average lows around 72°F—under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (peaking at 12 mph), and dew points near 70°F that trapped heat and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, aided by Miami's urban heat island effect. No precipitation fell, but morning showers earlier in the week maintained humid conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from equipment audits, as NWS quality control is rigorous; next CLI report expected April 27 confirms finality.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,194End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 72-73°F as the lowest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 26, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting the National Weather Service's (NWS) official daily minimum observation from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) there. This aligns with climatological norms for late April—average lows around 72°F—under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds (peaking at 12 mph), and dew points near 70°F that trapped heat and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, aided by Miami's urban heat island effect. No precipitation fell, but morning showers earlier in the week maintained humid conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from equipment audits, as NWS quality control is rigorous; next CLI report expected April 27 confirms finality.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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