Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 74-75°F as the lowest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability reflecting confirmed National Weather Service observations from official hourly METAR reports and daily climate summary. This warmer-than-normal overnight low—above the April climatological average of 72°F—stems from persistent high humidity, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that inhibited radiative cooling, consistent with late-spring subtropical conditions in South Florida. Pre-event NOAA forecast models had projected lows near 72-73°F, but real-time data showed stabilization around 74°F near dawn. Resolution is final barring rare data revisions from quality control audits; no significant challenges anticipated given the robustness of KMIA's automated observing systems.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on April 28?
Lowest temperature in Miami on April 28?
74-75°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$38,689 Vol.
$38,689 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$38,689 Vol.
$38,689 Vol.
Apr 28, 2026
67°F or below
$964 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,672 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$820 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$990 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,959 Vol.
Yes
76-77°F
$5,595 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,034 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,645 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$2,284 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$8,545 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$11,183 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 74-75°F as the lowest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability reflecting confirmed National Weather Service observations from official hourly METAR reports and daily climate summary. This warmer-than-normal overnight low—above the April climatological average of 72°F—stems from persistent high humidity, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that inhibited radiative cooling, consistent with late-spring subtropical conditions in South Florida. Pre-event NOAA forecast models had projected lows near 72-73°F, but real-time data showed stabilization around 74°F near dawn. Resolution is final barring rare data revisions from quality control audits; no significant challenges anticipated given the robustness of KMIA's automated observing systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$38,689End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 74-75°F as the lowest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability reflecting confirmed National Weather Service observations from official hourly METAR reports and daily climate summary. This warmer-than-normal overnight low—above the April climatological average of 72°F—stems from persistent high humidity, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that inhibited radiative cooling, consistent with late-spring subtropical conditions in South Florida. Pre-event NOAA forecast models had projected lows near 72-73°F, but real-time data showed stabilization around 74°F near dawn. Resolution is final barring rare data revisions from quality control audits; no significant challenges anticipated given the robustness of KMIA's automated observing systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,689End Date
Apr 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 74-75°F as the lowest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability reflecting confirmed National Weather Service observations from official hourly METAR reports and daily climate summary. This warmer-than-normal overnight low—above the April climatological average of 72°F—stems from persistent high humidity, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that inhibited radiative cooling, consistent with late-spring subtropical conditions in South Florida. Pre-event NOAA forecast models had projected lows near 72-73°F, but real-time data showed stabilization around 74°F near dawn. Resolution is final barring rare data revisions from quality control audits; no significant challenges anticipated given the robustness of KMIA's automated observing systems.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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