National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the authoritative station for resolution, recorded a minimum temperature of 72°F at approximately 7 AM EDT on April 29, 2026, locking in the 72-73°F outcome at 100% market-implied probability. This aligns precisely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected lows of 72-75°F amid persistent southerly winds, high humidity above 80%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling—conditions typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological overnight minimums average 71-72°F. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game capital affirming the observation. Realistic challenges, such as rare post hoc sensor recalibrations by NOAA, are improbable given quality-controlled hourly reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on April 29?
Lowest temperature in Miami on April 29?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$12,539 Vol.
$12,539 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$12,539 Vol.
$12,539 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
67°F or below
$1,395 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$287 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$758 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,389 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$310 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$4,727 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$918 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$373 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$254 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,017 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$1,110 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the authoritative station for resolution, recorded a minimum temperature of 72°F at approximately 7 AM EDT on April 29, 2026, locking in the 72-73°F outcome at 100% market-implied probability. This aligns precisely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected lows of 72-75°F amid persistent southerly winds, high humidity above 80%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling—conditions typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological overnight minimums average 71-72°F. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game capital affirming the observation. Realistic challenges, such as rare post hoc sensor recalibrations by NOAA, are improbable given quality-controlled hourly reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$12,539End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the authoritative station for resolution, recorded a minimum temperature of 72°F at approximately 7 AM EDT on April 29, 2026, locking in the 72-73°F outcome at 100% market-implied probability. This aligns precisely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected lows of 72-75°F amid persistent southerly winds, high humidity above 80%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling—conditions typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological overnight minimums average 71-72°F. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game capital affirming the observation. Realistic challenges, such as rare post hoc sensor recalibrations by NOAA, are improbable given quality-controlled hourly reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,539End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the authoritative station for resolution, recorded a minimum temperature of 72°F at approximately 7 AM EDT on April 29, 2026, locking in the 72-73°F outcome at 100% market-implied probability. This aligns precisely with pre-event ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which projected lows of 72-75°F amid persistent southerly winds, high humidity above 80%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling—conditions typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological overnight minimums average 71-72°F. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game capital affirming the observation. Realistic challenges, such as rare post hoc sensor recalibrations by NOAA, are improbable given quality-controlled hourly reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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