Trader consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on June 17 stems primarily from National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where overnight minimums aligned with mid-June climatological norms of 77-83°F under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and light winds. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping the reading firmly within the dominant bracket despite minor model variability in prior forecasts. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of official station data rather than broader regional averages. A shift to 78-79°F or below would require an atypical cold-air intrusion or revised station report, scenarios with low historical precedent in early summer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 17?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 17?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$19,085 Vol.
$19,085 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$19,085 Vol.
$19,085 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
69°F or below
$240 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$665 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,186 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,034 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,701 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,345 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$3,280 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$4,268 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$872 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,124 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$370 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on June 17 stems primarily from National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where overnight minimums aligned with mid-June climatological norms of 77-83°F under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and light winds. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping the reading firmly within the dominant bracket despite minor model variability in prior forecasts. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of official station data rather than broader regional averages. A shift to 78-79°F or below would require an atypical cold-air intrusion or revised station report, scenarios with low historical precedent in early summer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$19,085End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on June 17 stems primarily from National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where overnight minimums aligned with mid-June climatological norms of 77-83°F under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and light winds. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping the reading firmly within the dominant bracket despite minor model variability in prior forecasts. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of official station data rather than broader regional averages. A shift to 78-79°F or below would require an atypical cold-air intrusion or revised station report, scenarios with low historical precedent in early summer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,085End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on an 80-81°F low for Miami on June 17 stems primarily from National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where overnight minimums aligned with mid-June climatological norms of 77-83°F under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and light winds. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping the reading firmly within the dominant bracket despite minor model variability in prior forecasts. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of official station data rather than broader regional averages. A shift to 78-79°F or below would require an atypical cold-air intrusion or revised station report, scenarios with low historical precedent in early summer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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