Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 22 points to an overnight low near 80–82°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and minimal frontal influence, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 82–83°F bin at 41%. Subtropical June climatology features average daily minima around 76–78°F, yet persistent high pressure and elevated Gulf moisture have supported recent observed lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Ensemble model consensus shows limited overnight cooling potential before dawn, with only modest thunderstorm chances that could locally suppress temperatures into the high 70s. Traders appear to be pricing in this warm baseline rather than rarer cooler anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 22?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 22?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$14,520 Vol.
$14,520 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$14,520 Vol.
$14,520 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
71°F or below
$492 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$540 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,374 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,013 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,970 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,797 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,117 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$784 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$896 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$215 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$322 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 22 points to an overnight low near 80–82°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and minimal frontal influence, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 82–83°F bin at 41%. Subtropical June climatology features average daily minima around 76–78°F, yet persistent high pressure and elevated Gulf moisture have supported recent observed lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Ensemble model consensus shows limited overnight cooling potential before dawn, with only modest thunderstorm chances that could locally suppress temperatures into the high 70s. Traders appear to be pricing in this warm baseline rather than rarer cooler anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$14,520End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 22 points to an overnight low near 80–82°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and minimal frontal influence, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 82–83°F bin at 41%. Subtropical June climatology features average daily minima around 76–78°F, yet persistent high pressure and elevated Gulf moisture have supported recent observed lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Ensemble model consensus shows limited overnight cooling potential before dawn, with only modest thunderstorm chances that could locally suppress temperatures into the high 70s. Traders appear to be pricing in this warm baseline rather than rarer cooler anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,520End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 22 points to an overnight low near 80–82°F under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and minimal frontal influence, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 82–83°F bin at 41%. Subtropical June climatology features average daily minima around 76–78°F, yet persistent high pressure and elevated Gulf moisture have supported recent observed lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Ensemble model consensus shows limited overnight cooling potential before dawn, with only modest thunderstorm chances that could locally suppress temperatures into the high 70s. Traders appear to be pricing in this warm baseline rather than rarer cooler anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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