Trader consensus on Miami's June 23 minimum temperature centers on the 74–87°F range because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show overnight lows anchored near 79–82°F under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and variable cloud cover from daytime convection limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat island around Miami International Airport adds a few degrees of warmth. Recent model runs display modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing, which accounts for the near-even split among the 80–81°F, 86–87°F, and 74–75°F brackets. No tropical systems or strong frontal passages are expected to alter the pattern before the 23rd, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise degree of overnight cloudiness and wind speed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 23?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 23?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$15,280 Vol.
$15,280 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$15,280 Vol.
$15,280 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
71°F or below
$551 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$571 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$776 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,249 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,322 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,341 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$4,324 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$761 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$772 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,246 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$367 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Miami's June 23 minimum temperature centers on the 74–87°F range because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show overnight lows anchored near 79–82°F under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and variable cloud cover from daytime convection limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat island around Miami International Airport adds a few degrees of warmth. Recent model runs display modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing, which accounts for the near-even split among the 80–81°F, 86–87°F, and 74–75°F brackets. No tropical systems or strong frontal passages are expected to alter the pattern before the 23rd, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise degree of overnight cloudiness and wind speed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$15,280End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Miami's June 23 minimum temperature centers on the 74–87°F range because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show overnight lows anchored near 79–82°F under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and variable cloud cover from daytime convection limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat island around Miami International Airport adds a few degrees of warmth. Recent model runs display modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing, which accounts for the near-even split among the 80–81°F, 86–87°F, and 74–75°F brackets. No tropical systems or strong frontal passages are expected to alter the pattern before the 23rd, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise degree of overnight cloudiness and wind speed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,280End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Miami's June 23 minimum temperature centers on the 74–87°F range because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show overnight lows anchored near 79–82°F under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southeast winds, and variable cloud cover from daytime convection limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat island around Miami International Airport adds a few degrees of warmth. Recent model runs display modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing, which accounts for the near-even split among the 80–81°F, 86–87°F, and 74–75°F brackets. No tropical systems or strong frontal passages are expected to alter the pattern before the 23rd, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise degree of overnight cloudiness and wind speed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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