National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 72°F around early morning hours, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 72-73°F outcome as final daily climate reports solidify this measurement. Persistent southerly winds of 5-10 mph, combined with the urban heat island effect and typical early-May dewpoints near 72°F, limited radiative cooling consistent with South Florida's climatological norms (average low ~72°F). Model forecasts from prior days aligned closely, showing minimal overnight temperature drops under partly cloudy skies. While data revisions are rare post-observation, a challenge could arise only from discrepancies in official station readings or alternative resolution sources, though KMIA data carries authoritative weight for such markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on May 3?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 3?
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$18,081 Vol.
$18,081 Vol.
May 3, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$18,081 Vol.
$18,081 Vol.
May 3, 2026
69°F or below
$1,710 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,199 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,784 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$3,893 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$911 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,280 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,967 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,428 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$551 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$639 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$722 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 72°F around early morning hours, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 72-73°F outcome as final daily climate reports solidify this measurement. Persistent southerly winds of 5-10 mph, combined with the urban heat island effect and typical early-May dewpoints near 72°F, limited radiative cooling consistent with South Florida's climatological norms (average low ~72°F). Model forecasts from prior days aligned closely, showing minimal overnight temperature drops under partly cloudy skies. While data revisions are rare post-observation, a challenge could arise only from discrepancies in official station readings or alternative resolution sources, though KMIA data carries authoritative weight for such markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$18,081End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 72°F around early morning hours, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 72-73°F outcome as final daily climate reports solidify this measurement. Persistent southerly winds of 5-10 mph, combined with the urban heat island effect and typical early-May dewpoints near 72°F, limited radiative cooling consistent with South Florida's climatological norms (average low ~72°F). Model forecasts from prior days aligned closely, showing minimal overnight temperature drops under partly cloudy skies. While data revisions are rare post-observation, a challenge could arise only from discrepancies in official station readings or alternative resolution sources, though KMIA data carries authoritative weight for such markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,081End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 72°F around early morning hours, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 72-73°F outcome as final daily climate reports solidify this measurement. Persistent southerly winds of 5-10 mph, combined with the urban heat island effect and typical early-May dewpoints near 72°F, limited radiative cooling consistent with South Florida's climatological norms (average low ~72°F). Model forecasts from prior days aligned closely, showing minimal overnight temperature drops under partly cloudy skies. While data revisions are rare post-observation, a challenge could arise only from discrepancies in official station readings or alternative resolution sources, though KMIA data carries authoritative weight for such markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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