Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus for June 14, 2026, showed NYC overnight lows stabilizing near 72–73°F amid a warm, humid air mass with light winds that limited radiative cooling. This aligned with mid-June climatology, where typical minimums range 62–68°F but can rise several degrees under southerly flow and elevated dew points. High market-implied odds on this narrow bin reflect trader confidence in verified station data from Central Park or LaGuardia, which rarely deviate sharply from ensemble forecasts. A stronger-than-expected cold front or clearer skies promoting greater nocturnal heat loss could have pushed readings below 72°F, though no such development materialized in the final 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 14?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 14?
72-73°F 100.0%
68-69°F 1.0%
70-71°F 1.0%
63°F or below <1%
$26,286 Vol.
$26,286 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
68-69°F 1.0%
70-71°F 1.0%
63°F or below <1%
$26,286 Vol.
$26,286 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
63°F or below
$2,955 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$2,652 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$2,882 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,493 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$513 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,593 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$4,321 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$6,134 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,991 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$976 Vol.
No
82°F or higher
$775 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus for June 14, 2026, showed NYC overnight lows stabilizing near 72–73°F amid a warm, humid air mass with light winds that limited radiative cooling. This aligned with mid-June climatology, where typical minimums range 62–68°F but can rise several degrees under southerly flow and elevated dew points. High market-implied odds on this narrow bin reflect trader confidence in verified station data from Central Park or LaGuardia, which rarely deviate sharply from ensemble forecasts. A stronger-than-expected cold front or clearer skies promoting greater nocturnal heat loss could have pushed readings below 72°F, though no such development materialized in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$26,286End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus for June 14, 2026, showed NYC overnight lows stabilizing near 72–73°F amid a warm, humid air mass with light winds that limited radiative cooling. This aligned with mid-June climatology, where typical minimums range 62–68°F but can rise several degrees under southerly flow and elevated dew points. High market-implied odds on this narrow bin reflect trader confidence in verified station data from Central Park or LaGuardia, which rarely deviate sharply from ensemble forecasts. A stronger-than-expected cold front or clearer skies promoting greater nocturnal heat loss could have pushed readings below 72°F, though no such development materialized in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,286End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus for June 14, 2026, showed NYC overnight lows stabilizing near 72–73°F amid a warm, humid air mass with light winds that limited radiative cooling. This aligned with mid-June climatology, where typical minimums range 62–68°F but can rise several degrees under southerly flow and elevated dew points. High market-implied odds on this narrow bin reflect trader confidence in verified station data from Central Park or LaGuardia, which rarely deviate sharply from ensemble forecasts. A stronger-than-expected cold front or clearer skies promoting greater nocturnal heat loss could have pushed readings below 72°F, though no such development materialized in the final 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions