Current forecasts from major models indicate NYC overnight lows for June 22 centering in the mid-to-upper 60s °F, with trader odds clustered tightly across the 64–73 °F bins due to remaining uncertainty in cloud cover and any light precipitation. Radiative cooling rates will depend on sky conditions—clear skies promote stronger surface heat loss, while increasing humidity and southeasterly flow could limit the drop by several degrees. Urban heat island effects at official stations like LaGuardia further moderate extremes relative to rural analogs. With the summer solstice just passed and typical June climatology near 68 °F, small shifts in the next model runs or frontal timing could easily move the realized minimum across adjacent buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 22?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 22?
66-67°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$43,188 Vol.
$43,188 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$43,188 Vol.
$43,188 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
59°F or below
$806 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,044 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$2,031 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$6,439 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$17,646 Vol.
Yes
68-69°F
$7,441 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$3,073 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,215 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,214 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$856 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$421 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate NYC overnight lows for June 22 centering in the mid-to-upper 60s °F, with trader odds clustered tightly across the 64–73 °F bins due to remaining uncertainty in cloud cover and any light precipitation. Radiative cooling rates will depend on sky conditions—clear skies promote stronger surface heat loss, while increasing humidity and southeasterly flow could limit the drop by several degrees. Urban heat island effects at official stations like LaGuardia further moderate extremes relative to rural analogs. With the summer solstice just passed and typical June climatology near 68 °F, small shifts in the next model runs or frontal timing could easily move the realized minimum across adjacent buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$43,188End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate NYC overnight lows for June 22 centering in the mid-to-upper 60s °F, with trader odds clustered tightly across the 64–73 °F bins due to remaining uncertainty in cloud cover and any light precipitation. Radiative cooling rates will depend on sky conditions—clear skies promote stronger surface heat loss, while increasing humidity and southeasterly flow could limit the drop by several degrees. Urban heat island effects at official stations like LaGuardia further moderate extremes relative to rural analogs. With the summer solstice just passed and typical June climatology near 68 °F, small shifts in the next model runs or frontal timing could easily move the realized minimum across adjacent buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,188End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from major models indicate NYC overnight lows for June 22 centering in the mid-to-upper 60s °F, with trader odds clustered tightly across the 64–73 °F bins due to remaining uncertainty in cloud cover and any light precipitation. Radiative cooling rates will depend on sky conditions—clear skies promote stronger surface heat loss, while increasing humidity and southeasterly flow could limit the drop by several degrees. Urban heat island effects at official stations like LaGuardia further moderate extremes relative to rural analogs. With the summer solstice just passed and typical June climatology near 68 °F, small shifts in the next model runs or frontal timing could easily move the realized minimum across adjacent buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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