Recent forecast updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to overnight lows in Seoul near 18–19°C on June 26, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around those outcomes amid the early monsoon transition. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress radiative cooling, along with wind patterns and humidity levels that influence minimum temperatures in the urban heat island. Model consensus shows typical late-June baselines of 18–21°C, but short-range variability in steering flows or unexpected showers could shift results toward 17°C or 20°C. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical climatology, with resolution hinging on official 3–9 a.m. observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 26?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 26?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,767 Vol.
$35,767 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,767 Vol.
$35,767 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
14°C or below
$1,248 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,641 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,386 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,911 Vol.
No
18°C
$9,997 Vol.
No
19°C
$13,223 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$1,596 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,009 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,111 Vol.
No
23°C
$897 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$748 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to overnight lows in Seoul near 18–19°C on June 26, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around those outcomes amid the early monsoon transition. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress radiative cooling, along with wind patterns and humidity levels that influence minimum temperatures in the urban heat island. Model consensus shows typical late-June baselines of 18–21°C, but short-range variability in steering flows or unexpected showers could shift results toward 17°C or 20°C. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical climatology, with resolution hinging on official 3–9 a.m. observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$35,767End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to overnight lows in Seoul near 18–19°C on June 26, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around those outcomes amid the early monsoon transition. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress radiative cooling, along with wind patterns and humidity levels that influence minimum temperatures in the urban heat island. Model consensus shows typical late-June baselines of 18–21°C, but short-range variability in steering flows or unexpected showers could shift results toward 17°C or 20°C. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical climatology, with resolution hinging on official 3–9 a.m. observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,767End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to overnight lows in Seoul near 18–19°C on June 26, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around those outcomes amid the early monsoon transition. Key variables include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress radiative cooling, along with wind patterns and humidity levels that influence minimum temperatures in the urban heat island. Model consensus shows typical late-June baselines of 18–21°C, but short-range variability in steering flows or unexpected showers could shift results toward 17°C or 20°C. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical climatology, with resolution hinging on official 3–9 a.m. observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions