Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate an overnight minimum near 20–21°C in Seoul on May 26 under a stable high-pressure system with extensive cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative cooling. This setup sustains a warm, humid air mass well above the late-May climatological average low of 12–15°C, aligning with the market’s near-100% implied probability for a 20°C daily low. Model consensus remains tight, though any unexpected sky clearing or northerly flow shift could enhance cooling and allow an 18–19°C reading. Traders track final short-range updates and early-morning observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on May 26?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 26?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$18,551 Vol.
$18,551 Vol.
May 26, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$18,551 Vol.
$18,551 Vol.
May 26, 2026
15°C or below
$655 Vol.
No
16°C
$553 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,292 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,565 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,247 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,934 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$1,117 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,362 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,895 Vol.
No
24°C
$605 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$327 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate an overnight minimum near 20–21°C in Seoul on May 26 under a stable high-pressure system with extensive cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative cooling. This setup sustains a warm, humid air mass well above the late-May climatological average low of 12–15°C, aligning with the market’s near-100% implied probability for a 20°C daily low. Model consensus remains tight, though any unexpected sky clearing or northerly flow shift could enhance cooling and allow an 18–19°C reading. Traders track final short-range updates and early-morning observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$18,551End Date
May 26, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate an overnight minimum near 20–21°C in Seoul on May 26 under a stable high-pressure system with extensive cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative cooling. This setup sustains a warm, humid air mass well above the late-May climatological average low of 12–15°C, aligning with the market’s near-100% implied probability for a 20°C daily low. Model consensus remains tight, though any unexpected sky clearing or northerly flow shift could enhance cooling and allow an 18–19°C reading. Traders track final short-range updates and early-morning observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,551End Date
May 26, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate an overnight minimum near 20–21°C in Seoul on May 26 under a stable high-pressure system with extensive cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative cooling. This setup sustains a warm, humid air mass well above the late-May climatological average low of 12–15°C, aligning with the market’s near-100% implied probability for a 20°C daily low. Model consensus remains tight, though any unexpected sky clearing or northerly flow shift could enhance cooling and allow an 18–19°C reading. Traders track final short-range updates and early-morning observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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