Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$42,668 Vol.
$42,668 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$42,668 Vol.
$42,668 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
$1,542 Vol.
No
18°C
$732 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,417 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,888 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,437 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,784 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$15,075 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,682 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,331 Vol.
No
26°C
$996 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$783 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$42,668End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,668End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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