Current weather forecasts for Shanghai on June 7 project an overnight minimum near 21°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This reflects model consensus from agencies tracking seasonal patterns, where typical early-June lows range 20–23°C amid rising humidity and the East Asian monsoon transition. Historical data shows minimal deviation from these baselines without unusual cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling. The positioning could shift only if real-time observations reveal a sharper drop due to unexpected wind patterns or measurement variance at official stations, though such revisions remain unlikely given stable atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 7?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$50,605 Vol.
$50,605 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$50,605 Vol.
$50,605 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current weather forecasts for Shanghai on June 7 project an overnight minimum near 21°C, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. This reflects model consensus from agencies tracking seasonal patterns, where typical early-June lows range 20–23°C amid rising humidity and the East Asian monsoon transition. Historical data shows minimal deviation from these baselines without unusual cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative cooling. The positioning could shift only if real-time observations reveal a sharper drop due to unexpected wind patterns or measurement variance at official stations, though such revisions remain unlikely given stable atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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