Jannik Sinner's commanding 6-1, 6-2 final victory over Alexander Zverev on May 3 has cemented trader consensus at 100% for the world No. 1 as 2026 Mutua Madrid Open men's singles champion, marking his record fifth straight ATP Masters 1000 title and extending his Masters-level win streak to 24 matches. The Italian top seed dropped only one set—to Benjamin Bonzi in the second round—while navigating a favorable draw on the high-altitude clay at La Caja Mágica, showcasing elite baseline power and serving efficiency honed during the European clay swing. Spanish qualifier Daniel Mérida, a local hero who saved match points in quals and reached the third round before falling to Stefanos Tsitsipas, holds trace 0.1% probability amid negligible liquidity. With the trophy secured, no realistic challenges remain to alter the resolved outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner
2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner
Jannik Sinner 100.0%
Vilius Gaubas 92%
Tomás Martín Etcheverry 50.0%
Lorenzo Sonego 1.0%
$166,750 Vol.
$166,750 Vol.
Terence Atmane
No
Mattia Bellucci
No
Zizou Bergs
No
Jenson Brooksby
No
Marin Čilić
No
Raphael Collignon
No
Luciano Darderi
No
Jesper de Jong
No
Sebastian Baez
No
Ignacio Buse
No
Francisco Cerúndolo
No
Gabriel Diallo
No
Jacob Fearnley
No
João Fonseca
No
Martín Landaluce
No
Tomáš Macháč
No
Jakub Menšík
No
Gaël Monfils
No
Lorenzo Musetti
No
Sebastian Ofner
No
Tommy Paul
No
Andrey Rublev
No
Daniel Altmaier
No
Félix Auger-Aliassime
No
Roberto Bautista Agut
No
Matteo Berrettini
No
Alexander Blockx
No
Alexander Bublik
No
Pablo Carreño Busta
No
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
No
Flavio Cobolli
No
Francisco Comesaña
No
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
No
Alex de Minaur
No
Grigor Dimitrov
No
Tomás Martín Etcheverry
No
Arthur Fils
No
Tallon Griekspoor
No
Ugo Humbert
No
Rafael Jódar
No
Vít Kopřiva
No
Jiří Lehečka
No
Adrian Mannarino
No
Daniil Medvedev
No
Alex Michelsen
No
Corentin Moutet
No
Jaume Munar
No
Brandon Nakashima
No
Cameron Norrie
No
Reilly Opelka
No
Alexei Popyrin
No
Arthur Rinderknech
No
Casper Ruud
No
Ben Shelton
No
Jannik Sinner
Yes
Jan-Lennard Struff
No
Learner Tien
No
Stefanos Tsitsipas
No
Valentin Vacherot
No
Adam Walton
No
Alexander Zverev
No
Benjamin Bonzi
No
Federico Cinà
No
Titouan Droguet
No
Marton Fucsovics
No
Marcos Giron
No
Patrick Kypson
No
Dani Mérida
No
Mariano Navone
No
Valentin Royer
No
Adolfo Vallejo
No
Damir Džumhur
No
Yannick Hanfmann
No
Hubert Hurkacz
No
Karen Khachanov
No
Fabian Marozsan
No
Alexandre Müller
No
Emilio Nava
No
Ethan Quinn
No
Denis Shapovalov
No
Alexander Shevchenko
No
Lorenzo Sonego
No
Alejandro Tabilo
No
Thiago Agustín Tirante
No
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
No
Botic van de Zandschulp
No
Zhizhen Zhang
No
Nikoloz Basilashvili
No
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
No
Martin Damm
No
Jaime Faria
No
Vilius Gaubas
No
Miomir Kecmanovic
No
Dusan Lajovic
No
Elmer Moller
No
Dino Prizmic
No
Marco Trungelliti
No
Jannik Sinner 100.0%
Vilius Gaubas 92%
Tomás Martín Etcheverry 50.0%
Lorenzo Sonego 1.0%
$166,750 Vol.
$166,750 Vol.
Terence Atmane
No
Mattia Bellucci
No
Zizou Bergs
No
Jenson Brooksby
No
Marin Čilić
No
Raphael Collignon
No
Luciano Darderi
No
Jesper de Jong
No
Sebastian Baez
No
Ignacio Buse
No
Francisco Cerúndolo
No
Gabriel Diallo
No
Jacob Fearnley
No
João Fonseca
No
Martín Landaluce
No
Tomáš Macháč
No
Jakub Menšík
No
Gaël Monfils
No
Lorenzo Musetti
No
Sebastian Ofner
No
Tommy Paul
No
Andrey Rublev
No
Daniel Altmaier
No
Félix Auger-Aliassime
No
Roberto Bautista Agut
No
Matteo Berrettini
No
Alexander Blockx
No
Alexander Bublik
No
Pablo Carreño Busta
No
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
No
Flavio Cobolli
No
Francisco Comesaña
No
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
No
Alex de Minaur
No
Grigor Dimitrov
No
Tomás Martín Etcheverry
No
Arthur Fils
No
Tallon Griekspoor
No
Ugo Humbert
No
Rafael Jódar
No
Vít Kopřiva
No
Jiří Lehečka
No
Adrian Mannarino
No
Daniil Medvedev
No
Alex Michelsen
No
Corentin Moutet
No
Jaume Munar
No
Brandon Nakashima
No
Cameron Norrie
No
Reilly Opelka
No
Alexei Popyrin
No
Arthur Rinderknech
No
Casper Ruud
No
Ben Shelton
No
Jannik Sinner
Yes
Jan-Lennard Struff
No
Learner Tien
No
Stefanos Tsitsipas
No
Valentin Vacherot
No
Adam Walton
No
Alexander Zverev
No
Benjamin Bonzi
No
Federico Cinà
No
Titouan Droguet
No
Marton Fucsovics
No
Marcos Giron
No
Patrick Kypson
No
Dani Mérida
No
Mariano Navone
No
Valentin Royer
No
Adolfo Vallejo
No
Damir Džumhur
No
Yannick Hanfmann
No
Hubert Hurkacz
No
Karen Khachanov
No
Fabian Marozsan
No
Alexandre Müller
No
Emilio Nava
No
Ethan Quinn
No
Denis Shapovalov
No
Alexander Shevchenko
No
Lorenzo Sonego
No
Alejandro Tabilo
No
Thiago Agustín Tirante
No
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
No
Botic van de Zandschulp
No
Zhizhen Zhang
No
Nikoloz Basilashvili
No
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
No
Martin Damm
No
Jaime Faria
No
Vilius Gaubas
No
Miomir Kecmanovic
No
Dusan Lajovic
No
Elmer Moller
No
Dino Prizmic
No
Marco Trungelliti
No
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Jannik Sinner's commanding 6-1, 6-2 final victory over Alexander Zverev on May 3 has cemented trader consensus at 100% for the world No. 1 as 2026 Mutua Madrid Open men's singles champion, marking his record fifth straight ATP Masters 1000 title and extending his Masters-level win streak to 24 matches. The Italian top seed dropped only one set—to Benjamin Bonzi in the second round—while navigating a favorable draw on the high-altitude clay at La Caja Mágica, showcasing elite baseline power and serving efficiency honed during the European clay swing. Spanish qualifier Daniel Mérida, a local hero who saved match points in quals and reached the third round before falling to Stefanos Tsitsipas, holds trace 0.1% probability amid negligible liquidity. With the trophy secured, no realistic challenges remain to alter the resolved outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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