Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Maine Governor Election Winner
Politics·Maine Midterm

Maine Governor Election Winner

icon for Maine Governor Election Winner
Politics·Maine Midterm

Maine Governor Election Winner

Polymarket

$34,801 Vol.

Polymarket

$34,801 Vol.

icon for Hannah Pingree (D)

Hannah Pingree (D)

$26,835 Vol.

96%

icon for Robert Charles (R)

Robert Charles (R)

$7,966 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Hannah Pingree holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election due to consistent polling margins of roughly 10 points or more since the June primaries, reflecting the state’s Democratic lean in recent open-seat contests and her strong positioning as the party nominee. The former House speaker and policy director under term-limited Gov. Janet Mills secured her nomination through ranked-choice voting and has gained key endorsements, including from independent U.S. Sen. Angus King just days before the current market snapshot. Republican nominee Bobby Charles, a former federal official, trails significantly in surveys that also include independent candidate Rick Bennett. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic. Late developments such as turnout surges, shifts in national sentiment, or independent vote consolidation could still narrow the gap before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$34,801
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Hannah Pingree holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election due to consistent polling margins of roughly 10 points or more since the June primaries, reflecting the state’s Democratic lean in recent open-seat contests and her strong positioning as the party nominee. The former House speaker and policy director under term-limited Gov. Janet Mills secured her nomination through ranked-choice voting and has gained key endorsements, including from independent U.S. Sen. Angus King just days before the current market snapshot. Republican nominee Bobby Charles, a former federal official, trails significantly in surveys that also include independent candidate Rick Bennett. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic. Late developments such as turnout surges, shifts in national sentiment, or independent vote consolidation could still narrow the gap before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$34,801
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Related

icon for Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?

92%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

87%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

92%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Maine Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hannah Pingree (D)" at 96%, followed by "Robert Charles (R)" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maine Governor Election Winner" has generated $34.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maine Governor Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maine Governor Election Winner" is "Hannah Pingree (D)" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Charles (R)" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maine Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.