Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads in July 2026 surveys, including a RealTime Big Data result showing 44% support against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 31% in the first-round scenario and a projected second-round edge of 52% to 38%. Braide’s resignation from the São Luís mayoralty to pursue the state executive, combined with divisions in the center-left governing coalition, has consolidated voter preference behind the PSD candidate ahead of lower-polling contenders such as Felipe Camarão (PT). Traders’ elevated consensus on Braide reflects these survey trends and the absence of major late shifts, while scheduled October voting and any final candidate alignments remain the primary variables that could still influence outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Braide 77%
Orleans Brandão 22%
Felipe Camarão 2.6%
André Luís <1%
$22,002 Vol.
$22,002 Vol.
Eduardo Braide
77%
Orleans Brandão
22%
Felipe Camarão
3%
André Luís
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Eduardo Braide 77%
Orleans Brandão 22%
Felipe Camarão 2.6%
André Luís <1%
$22,002 Vol.
$22,002 Vol.
Eduardo Braide
77%
Orleans Brandão
22%
Felipe Camarão
3%
André Luís
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds the strongest position in the Maranhão gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads in July 2026 surveys, including a RealTime Big Data result showing 44% support against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 31% in the first-round scenario and a projected second-round edge of 52% to 38%. Braide’s resignation from the São Luís mayoralty to pursue the state executive, combined with divisions in the center-left governing coalition, has consolidated voter preference behind the PSD candidate ahead of lower-polling contenders such as Felipe Camarão (PT). Traders’ elevated consensus on Braide reflects these survey trends and the absence of major late shifts, while scheduled October voting and any final candidate alignments remain the primary variables that could still influence outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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