Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, bolstered by her established voter base in the heavily Democratic district, a decisive DFL endorsement secured in May, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million with over $1.5 million in cash on hand. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local AFSCME leader and DNC member who announced her bid in late 2025, trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing assigns overwhelming probability to Omar prevailing, consistent with historical patterns favoring well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries where other declared candidates have yet to mount comparable campaigns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$26,342 KL.
$26,342 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
83%
Latonya Reeves
10%
$26,342 KL.
$26,342 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
$20,854 KL.
83%
Latonya Reeves
$5,489 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, bolstered by her established voter base in the heavily Democratic district, a decisive DFL endorsement secured in May, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million with over $1.5 million in cash on hand. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local AFSCME leader and DNC member who announced her bid in late 2025, trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing assigns overwhelming probability to Omar prevailing, consistent with historical patterns favoring well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries where other declared candidates have yet to mount comparable campaigns.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,342Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, bolstered by her established voter base in the heavily Democratic district, a decisive DFL endorsement secured in May, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million with over $1.5 million in cash on hand. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local AFSCME leader and DNC member who announced her bid in late 2025, trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing assigns overwhelming probability to Omar prevailing, consistent with historical patterns favoring well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries where other declared candidates have yet to mount comparable campaigns.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$26,342Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, bolstered by her established voter base in the heavily Democratic district, a decisive DFL endorsement secured in May, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $5 million with over $1.5 million in cash on hand. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local AFSCME leader and DNC member who announced her bid in late 2025, trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing assigns overwhelming probability to Omar prevailing, consistent with historical patterns favoring well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries where other declared candidates have yet to mount comparable campaigns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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