Microsoft's shares closed at $491.71 on August 25, 2026, following a 0.9% gain amid broader tech resilience, with the stock trading near $488–489 in early August 26 action. The primary driver of recent sentiment remains the July 29 fiscal Q4 earnings beat, which showed 18% revenue growth to $90 billion, Azure revenue surpassing a $100 billion annual run rate for the first time, and commercial remaining performance obligations rising 84% to $678 billion. Strong cloud and AI momentum—bolstered by Microsoft 365 Copilot adoption and enterprise demand—has lifted the shares roughly 29% over the past month, though elevated capital expenditures and questions around near-term AI monetization versus infrastructure costs continue to influence positioning. With no major company-specific catalysts expected on August 27, trader focus centers on overall equity market direction, Treasury yields, and tech sector flows as key variables for the session's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$470
89%
$480
78%
$490
49%
$500
20%
$510
13%
$0.00 Vol.
$470
89%
$480
78%
$490
49%
$500
20%
$510
13%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's shares closed at $491.71 on August 25, 2026, following a 0.9% gain amid broader tech resilience, with the stock trading near $488–489 in early August 26 action. The primary driver of recent sentiment remains the July 29 fiscal Q4 earnings beat, which showed 18% revenue growth to $90 billion, Azure revenue surpassing a $100 billion annual run rate for the first time, and commercial remaining performance obligations rising 84% to $678 billion. Strong cloud and AI momentum—bolstered by Microsoft 365 Copilot adoption and enterprise demand—has lifted the shares roughly 29% over the past month, though elevated capital expenditures and questions around near-term AI monetization versus infrastructure costs continue to influence positioning. With no major company-specific catalysts expected on August 27, trader focus centers on overall equity market direction, Treasury yields, and tech sector flows as key variables for the session's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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