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Sports·NBA

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals

Market icon
Sports·NBA

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals

NEW
May 24, 2026
Polymarket

$437 Vol.

Polymarket

Oklahoma City Thunder

$1 Vol.

79%

San Antonio Spurs

$0 Vol.

65%

Detroit Pistons

$10 Vol.

29%

Cleveland Cavaliers

$0 Vol.

40%

Denver Nuggets

$3 Vol.

40%

New York Knicks

$0 Vol.

35%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$0 Vol.

22%

Houston Rockets

$0 Vol.

22%

Los Angeles Lakers

$27 Vol.

11%

Philadelphia 76ers

$0 Vol.

12%

Atlanta Hawks

$0 Vol.

12%

Phoenix Suns

$0 Vol.

12%

Toronto Raptors

$0 Vol.

11%

Charlotte Hornets

$28 Vol.

5%

Los Angeles Clippers

$95 Vol.

3%

Orlando Magic

$45 Vol.

3%

Golden State Warriors

$113 Vol.

3%

Miami Heat

$32 Vol.

3%

Portland Trail Blazers

$80 Vol.

2%

Boston Celtics

$3 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 NBA playoff bracket finalized after the April 12 regular season finale, top seeds Oklahoma City Thunder (West No. 1) and Detroit Pistons (East No. 1) enter with home-court advantage through the conference finals, bolstering trader consensus on their paths via favorable first-round matchups against lower seeds or play-in winners. West dynamics shifted dramatically from Lakers star Luka Doncic's Grade 2 left hamstring strain six days prior, ruling him out indefinitely and clouding the No. 4 seed's upset potential versus higher seeds like Spurs (No. 2) or Nuggets (No. 3). Spurs' Victor Wembanyama sat the finale for rib rest, expected available. East features balanced series like Knicks-Hawks and Cavs-Raptors, plus play-in battles for 76ers-Magic-Hornets spots starting April 14, heightening upset risks amid Boston's minor injury concerns in recent injury reports. First round tips April 18.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$437
End Date
May 24, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 NBA playoff bracket finalized after the April 12 regular season finale, top seeds Oklahoma City Thunder (West No. 1) and Detroit Pistons (East No. 1) enter with home-court advantage through the conference finals, bolstering trader consensus on their paths via favorable first-round matchups against lower seeds or play-in winners. West dynamics shifted dramatically from Lakers star Luka Doncic's Grade 2 left hamstring strain six days prior, ruling him out indefinitely and clouding the No. 4 seed's upset potential versus higher seeds like Spurs (No. 2) or Nuggets (No. 3). Spurs' Victor Wembanyama sat the finale for rib rest, expected available. East features balanced series like Knicks-Hawks and Cavs-Raptors, plus play-in battles for 76ers-Magic-Hornets spots starting April 14, heightening upset risks amid Boston's minor injury concerns in recent injury reports. First round tips April 18.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$437
End Date
May 24, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 79%, followed by "San Antonio Spurs" at 65%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "San Antonio Spurs" at 65%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.