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Sports·2026 NBA Playoffs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

Market icon
Sports·2026 NBA Playoffs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

NEW
May 3, 2026
Polymarket

$7,592 Vol.

Polymarket

Oklahoma City Thunder

$281 Vol.

94%

San Antonio Spurs

$0 Vol.

85%

Houston Rockets

$2,092 Vol.

84%

Boston Celtics

$0 Vol.

84%

Cleveland Cavaliers

$43 Vol.

83%

Denver Nuggets

$929 Vol.

76%

Detroit Pistons

$0 Vol.

73%

New York Knicks

$1 Vol.

72%

Orlando Magic

$0 Vol.

50%

Atlanta Hawks

$845 Vol.

29%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$336 Vol.

26%

Philadelphia 76ers

$0 Vol.

23%

Toronto Raptors

$500 Vol.

18%

Los Angeles Lakers

$1,973 Vol.

16%

Portland Trail Blazers

$0 Vol.

14%

Miami Heat

$0 Vol.

14%

Phoenix Suns

$0 Vol.

12%

Charlotte Hornets

$0 Vol.

11%

Los Angeles Clippers

$536 Vol.

2%

Golden State Warriors

$56 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 NBA playoff bracket locked following the regular season finale on April 13, trader consensus heavily favors top seeds like the Detroit Pistons (East No. 1, 60-22) and Oklahoma City Thunder (West No. 1, 64-18) to advance from first-round best-of-7 series starting April 18, driven by dominant records and home-court advantage through Game 7. Fully set matchups include Knicks vs. Hawks (East 3-6), Cavaliers vs. Raptors (East 4-5), Nuggets vs. Timberwolves rematch (West 3-6), and Lakers vs. Rockets (West 4-5), where Los Angeles faces headwinds from Luka Doncic's hamstring strain and Austin Reaves' absence per injury reports. SoFi Play-In Tournament games today—Hornets-Heat, 76ers-Magic (East), Clippers-Warriors, Suns-Trail Blazers (West)—will finalize 7-8 seeds, potentially shifting lower-seed upset potential; monitor official lineups and rest advantages for momentum.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,592
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 NBA playoff bracket locked following the regular season finale on April 13, trader consensus heavily favors top seeds like the Detroit Pistons (East No. 1, 60-22) and Oklahoma City Thunder (West No. 1, 64-18) to advance from first-round best-of-7 series starting April 18, driven by dominant records and home-court advantage through Game 7. Fully set matchups include Knicks vs. Hawks (East 3-6), Cavaliers vs. Raptors (East 4-5), Nuggets vs. Timberwolves rematch (West 3-6), and Lakers vs. Rockets (West 4-5), where Los Angeles faces headwinds from Luka Doncic's hamstring strain and Austin Reaves' absence per injury reports. SoFi Play-In Tournament games today—Hornets-Heat, 76ers-Magic (East), Clippers-Warriors, Suns-Trail Blazers (West)—will finalize 7-8 seeds, potentially shifting lower-seed upset potential; monitor official lineups and rest advantages for momentum.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,592
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

83%
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Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

57%
Market icon

Will Phoenix Suns advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament?

89%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 94%, followed by "San Antonio Spurs" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "San Antonio Spurs" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.