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icon for NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Sports·2026 NHL Playoffs

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

icon for NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Sports·2026 NHL Playoffs

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

Jordan Staal 100.0%

Mitch Marner <1%

Logan Stankoven <1%

Linus Ullmark <1%

Polymarket

$180,633 Vol.

Jordan Staal 100.0%

Mitch Marner <1%

Logan Stankoven <1%

Linus Ullmark <1%

Polymarket

$180,633 Vol.

Linus Ullmark

$1,891 Vol.

No

Seth Jarvis

$971 Vol.

No

Quinn Hughes

$850 Vol.

No

Jake Oettinger

$642 Vol.

No

Dan Vladar

$681 Vol.

No

Sidney Crosby

$1,009 Vol.

No

Cale Makar

$828 Vol.

No

Anze Kopitar

$33 Vol.

No

Nick Suzuki

$592 Vol.

No

Nikita Kucherov

$1,021 Vol.

No

David Pastrnak

$882 Vol.

No

Alex Tuch

$681 Vol.

No

Jack Eichel

$1,598 Vol.

No

Dylan Guenther

$349 Vol.

No

Cutter Guanthier

$795 Vol.

No

Connor McDavid

$512 Vol.

No

Nathan MacKinnon

$2,509 Vol.

No

Sebastian Aho

$1,398 Vol.

No

Cole Caufield

$579 Vol.

No

Clayton Keller

$614 Vol.

No

Andrei Vasilevskiy

$1,372 Vol.

No

Martin Necas

$479 Vol.

No

Mitch Marner

$104,575 Vol.

No

Leon Draisaitl

$611 Vol.

No

Rasmus Dahlin

$1,004 Vol.

No

Carter Hart

$2,013 Vol.

No

Rasmus Andersson

$198 Vol.

No

Noah Hanifin

$269 Vol.

No

William Karlsson

$214 Vol.

No

Shea Theodore

$764 Vol.

No

Mark Stone

$183 Vol.

No

Tomas Hertl

$183 Vol.

No

Brett Howden

$2,754 Vol.

No

Ivan Barbashev

$239 Vol.

No

Taylor Hall

$4,943 Vol.

No

Jackson Blake

$13,940 Vol.

No

Brayden McNabb

$204 Vol.

No

Colton Sissons

$68 Vol.

No

Pavel Dorofeyev

$993 Vol.

No

Andrei Svechnikov

$618 Vol.

No

Logan Stankoven

$2,617 Vol.

No

Nikolaj Ehlers

$4,097 Vol.

No

Jordan Staal

$14,560 Vol.

Yes

Jaccob Slavin

$655 Vol.

No

Jalen Chatfield

$212 Vol.

No

K'Andre Miller

$1,210 Vol.

No

Shayne Gostisbehere

$217 Vol.

No

Alexander Nikishin

$69 Vol.

No

Frederik Andersen

$2,938 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carolina Hurricanes captain Jordan Staal captured the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy after leading his team to the Stanley Cup title with a decisive Game 6 victory over the Vegas Golden Knights. Traders have priced Staal near 100 percent because the Professional Hockey Writers' Association has already presented the award, reflecting his postseason impact through consistent scoring, power-play contributions, and advanced metrics such as high-danger chances and offensive-zone time during the Final. At 37, Staal became the oldest recipient in history while anchoring a dominant playoff run that included strong two-way play and leadership in key moments. With the trophy now officially awarded, realistic shifts in market consensus are limited to administrative confirmation or highly improbable revisions to the official vote.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$180,633
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carolina Hurricanes captain Jordan Staal captured the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy after leading his team to the Stanley Cup title with a decisive Game 6 victory over the Vegas Golden Knights. Traders have priced Staal near 100 percent because the Professional Hockey Writers' Association has already presented the award, reflecting his postseason impact through consistent scoring, power-play contributions, and advanced metrics such as high-danger chances and offensive-zone time during the Final. At 37, Staal became the oldest recipient in history while anchoring a dominant playoff run that included strong two-way play and leadership in key moments. With the trophy now officially awarded, realistic shifts in market consensus are limited to administrative confirmation or highly improbable revisions to the official vote.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$180,633
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 49+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jordan Staal" at 100%, followed by "Linus Ullmark" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" has generated $180.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner," browse the 49+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is "Jordan Staal" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Linus Ullmark" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.