Market icon

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Smaller Strikes)

Market icon

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Smaller Strikes)

Mar 28

Mar 31

Mar 28

Mar 31

81-82M 53%

80-81M 28%

82-83M 16%

79-80M 5.0%

Polymarket
NEW

$19,468 Vol.

81-82M 53%

80-81M 28%

82-83M 16%

79-80M 5.0%

Polymarket
NEW

$19,468 Vol.

<79M

$772 Vol.

1%

79-80M

$2,064 Vol.

5%

80-81M

$584 Vol.

28%

81-82M

$321 Vol.

45%

82-83M

$12,028 Vol.

16%

83-84M

$665 Vol.

5%

84M+

$3,034 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the next MrBeast video garnering 81-82 million views in its first week (48% implied probability), reflecting his consistent YouTube dominance with recent uploads like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" hitting 92 million week-one views and "I Built 100 Wells In Africa" at 85 million, averaging around 80-85 million amid his 380 million subscribers and optimized thumbnails driving viral algorithm boosts. The 80-81M (29%) and 82-83M (15%) outcomes trail closely, signaling tight expectations tempered by potential competition from holiday-season content and YouTube's evolving recommendation dynamics. No specific next-video title or release date has been officially announced in the past week, but his weekly cadence keeps momentum steady—watch for teasers on X that could spike presale hype before the inevitable premiere.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the next MrBeast video garnering 81-82 million views in its first week (48% implied probability), reflecting his consistent YouTube dominance with recent uploads like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" hitting 92 million week-one views and "I Built 100 Wells In Africa" at 85 million, averaging around 80-85 million amid his 380 million subscribers and optimized thumbnails driving viral algorithm boosts. The 80-81M (29%) and 82-83M (15%) outcomes trail closely, signaling tight expectations tempered by potential competition from holiday-season content and YouTube's evolving recommendation dynamics. No specific next-video title or release date has been officially announced in the past week, but his weekly cadence keeps momentum steady—watch for teasers on X that could spike presale hype before the inevitable premiere.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the next MrBeast video garnering 81-82 million views in its first week (48% implied probability), reflecting his consistent YouTube dominance with recent uploads like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" hitting 92 million week-one views and "I Built 100 Wells In Africa" at 85 million, averaging around 80-85 million amid his 380 million subscribers and optimized thumbnails driving viral algorithm boosts. The 80-81M (29%) and 82-83M (15%) outcomes trail closely, signaling tight expectations tempered by potential competition from holiday-season content and YouTube's evolving recommendation dynamics. No specific next-video title or release date has been officially announced in the past week, but his weekly cadence keeps momentum steady—watch for teasers on X that could spike presale hype before the inevitable premiere.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the next MrBeast video garnering 81-82 million views in its first week (48% implied probability), reflecting his consistent YouTube dominance with recent uploads like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" hitting 92 million week-one views and "I Built 100 Wells In Africa" at 85 million, averaging around 80-85 million amid his 380 million subscribers and optimized thumbnails driving viral algorithm boosts. The 80-81M (29%) and 82-83M (15%) outcomes trail closely, signaling tight expectations tempered by potential competition from holiday-season content and YouTube's evolving recommendation dynamics. No specific next-video title or release date has been officially announced in the past week, but his weekly cadence keeps momentum steady—watch for teasers on X that could spike presale hype before the inevitable premiere.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "81-82M" at 45%, followed by "80-81M" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" has generated $19.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Smaller Strikes)," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" is "81-82M" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-81M" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Smaller Strikes)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.