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Politics·Primaries

PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Sharif Street 52%

Chris Rabb 39.2%

Ala Stanford 5.9%

Gabriel Caceres <1%

Polymarket

$35,582 Vol.

Sharif Street 52%

Chris Rabb 39.2%

Ala Stanford 5.9%

Gabriel Caceres <1%

Polymarket

$35,582 Vol.

Sharif Street

$8,494 Vol.

52%

Chris Rabb

$6,725 Vol.

39%

Ala Stanford

$4,034 Vol.

6%

Gabriel Caceres

$4,762 Vol.

1%

David Oxman

$5,144 Vol.

<1%

Morgan Cephas

$2,180 Vol.

<1%

Robin Toldens

$4,243 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus gives State Sen. Sharif Street a 52% implied probability of winning, buoyed by his establishment credentials as former Pennsylvania Democratic Party chair, son of ex-Mayor John Street, and endorsements from Philadelphia Mayor Cherelle Parker, the Philadelphia Democratic Party, numerous local unions like IAFF Local 22 and Plumbers Local 690, and ex-Gov. Ed Rendell—factors signaling strong machine turnout in the deep-blue Philly district. State Rep. Chris Rabb trails closely at 40% after surging on progressive backing, including U.S. Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Ilhan Omar, and Pramila Jayapal, the Philadelphia Inquirer editorial board, Justice Democrats, and DSA, amplified by a heated April 29 WHYY debate and April 21 forum clashing with Street. Dr. Ala Stanford holds 6% amid endorsements from retiring Rep. Dwight Evans and EMILYs List, but lags on momentum despite top cash-on-hand. With no public polls, odds hinge on voter turnout blocs and final-week ground game in this open seat race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,582
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus gives State Sen. Sharif Street a 52% implied probability of winning, buoyed by his establishment credentials as former Pennsylvania Democratic Party chair, son of ex-Mayor John Street, and endorsements from Philadelphia Mayor Cherelle Parker, the Philadelphia Democratic Party, numerous local unions like IAFF Local 22 and Plumbers Local 690, and ex-Gov. Ed Rendell—factors signaling strong machine turnout in the deep-blue Philly district. State Rep. Chris Rabb trails closely at 40% after surging on progressive backing, including U.S. Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Ilhan Omar, and Pramila Jayapal, the Philadelphia Inquirer editorial board, Justice Democrats, and DSA, amplified by a heated April 29 WHYY debate and April 21 forum clashing with Street. Dr. Ala Stanford holds 6% amid endorsements from retiring Rep. Dwight Evans and EMILYs List, but lags on momentum despite top cash-on-hand. With no public polls, odds hinge on voter turnout blocs and final-week ground game in this open seat race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,582
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sharif Street" at 52%, followed by "Chris Rabb" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $35.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Sharif Street" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chris Rabb" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.