As of April 16, cumulative rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands around 60mm through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—with minimal additions since amid mostly sunny intervals and scattered showers. This below-average start to the rainy season, against a historical April norm of about 150-160mm, drives trader consensus toward totals under 140mm, reflected in tight odds between <130mm (32.5%) and 130-140mm (27.5%). Forecasts predict normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, but uncertainty in late-month shower patterns and potential tropical influences keeps the race competitive; sustained dry spells could push below 130mm, while clustered heavy rain events might elevate toward 150mm+.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Hong Kong in April?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
<130mm 32%
130-140mm 26%
140-150mm 24%
150-160mm 18%
$28,497 Vol.
$28,497 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<130mm
32%
130-140mm
26%
140-150mm
24%
150-160mm
18%
160-170mm
4%
190-200mm
2%
180-190
3%
190mm+
10%
<130mm 32%
130-140mm 26%
140-150mm 24%
150-160mm 18%
$28,497 Vol.
$28,497 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<130mm
$13,151 Vol.
32%
130-140mm
$5,181 Vol.
26%
140-150mm
$5,677 Vol.
24%
150-160mm
$3,209 Vol.
18%
160-170mm
$237 Vol.
4%
190-200mm
$189 Vol.
2%
180-190
$206 Vol.
3%
190mm+
$648 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of April 16, cumulative rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands around 60mm through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—with minimal additions since amid mostly sunny intervals and scattered showers. This below-average start to the rainy season, against a historical April norm of about 150-160mm, drives trader consensus toward totals under 140mm, reflected in tight odds between <130mm (32.5%) and 130-140mm (27.5%). Forecasts predict normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, but uncertainty in late-month shower patterns and potential tropical influences keeps the race competitive; sustained dry spells could push below 130mm, while clustered heavy rain events might elevate toward 150mm+.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$28,497End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of April 16, cumulative rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands around 60mm through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—with minimal additions since amid mostly sunny intervals and scattered showers. This below-average start to the rainy season, against a historical April norm of about 150-160mm, drives trader consensus toward totals under 140mm, reflected in tight odds between <130mm (32.5%) and 130-140mm (27.5%). Forecasts predict normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, but uncertainty in late-month shower patterns and potential tropical influences keeps the race competitive; sustained dry spells could push below 130mm, while clustered heavy rain events might elevate toward 150mm+.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,497End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...As of April 16, cumulative rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands around 60mm through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—with minimal additions since amid mostly sunny intervals and scattered showers. This below-average start to the rainy season, against a historical April norm of about 150-160mm, drives trader consensus toward totals under 140mm, reflected in tight odds between <130mm (32.5%) and 130-140mm (27.5%). Forecasts predict normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, but uncertainty in late-month shower patterns and potential tropical influences keeps the race competitive; sustained dry spells could push below 130mm, while clustered heavy rain events might elevate toward 150mm+.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions