Recent heavy rainfall early in June has pushed London totals near or above the long-term average of 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording 50 mm through early June amid a changeable pattern of showers and Atlantic low-pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-70 mm because remaining weeks carry substantial uncertainty from variable jet stream positioning and North Atlantic Oscillation phases, which can shift between drier high-pressure dominance and wetter unsettled flow. Official Met Office and MeteoGroup outlooks diverge on summer rainfall, while ENSO-neutral conditions limit strong teleconnections; final totals hinge on whether late-June model runs favor continued Atlantic moisture or building ridges that suppress precipitation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in London in June?
Precipitation in London in June?
80mm+ 99.6%
<30mm <1%
30-40mm <1%
40-50mm <1%
$12,554 Vol.
$12,554 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<30mm
No
30-40mm
No
40-50mm
No
50-60mm
No
60-70mm
No
70-80mm
No
80mm+
Yes
80mm+ 99.6%
<30mm <1%
30-40mm <1%
40-50mm <1%
$12,554 Vol.
$12,554 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<30mm
$2,572 Vol.
No
30-40mm
$1,108 Vol.
No
40-50mm
$913 Vol.
No
50-60mm
$1,531 Vol.
No
60-70mm
$1,013 Vol.
No
70-80mm
$1,168 Vol.
No
80mm+
$4,249 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall early in June has pushed London totals near or above the long-term average of 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording 50 mm through early June amid a changeable pattern of showers and Atlantic low-pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-70 mm because remaining weeks carry substantial uncertainty from variable jet stream positioning and North Atlantic Oscillation phases, which can shift between drier high-pressure dominance and wetter unsettled flow. Official Met Office and MeteoGroup outlooks diverge on summer rainfall, while ENSO-neutral conditions limit strong teleconnections; final totals hinge on whether late-June model runs favor continued Atlantic moisture or building ridges that suppress precipitation.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Volume
$12,554End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall early in June has pushed London totals near or above the long-term average of 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording 50 mm through early June amid a changeable pattern of showers and Atlantic low-pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-70 mm because remaining weeks carry substantial uncertainty from variable jet stream positioning and North Atlantic Oscillation phases, which can shift between drier high-pressure dominance and wetter unsettled flow. Official Met Office and MeteoGroup outlooks diverge on summer rainfall, while ENSO-neutral conditions limit strong teleconnections; final totals hinge on whether late-June model runs favor continued Atlantic moisture or building ridges that suppress precipitation.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,554End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent heavy rainfall early in June has pushed London totals near or above the long-term average of 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording 50 mm through early June amid a changeable pattern of showers and Atlantic low-pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-70 mm because remaining weeks carry substantial uncertainty from variable jet stream positioning and North Atlantic Oscillation phases, which can shift between drier high-pressure dominance and wetter unsettled flow. Official Met Office and MeteoGroup outlooks diverge on summer rainfall, while ENSO-neutral conditions limit strong teleconnections; final totals hinge on whether late-June model runs favor continued Atlantic moisture or building ridges that suppress precipitation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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