Market icon
Sports·Soccer

Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)

Tondela 77%

Estrela da Amadora 40%

Vitória de Guimarães 39%

AVS 39%

Polymarket
NEW

Tondela 77%

Estrela da Amadora 40%

Vitória de Guimarães 39%

AVS 39%

Polymarket
NEW

Tondela

$0 Vol.

77%

Estrela da Amadora

$0 Vol.

40%

Vitória de Guimarães

$20 Vol.

39%

AVS

$0 Vol.

39%

Moreirense

$20 Vol.

39%

Estoril Praia

$80 Vol.

34%

Santa Clara

$0 Vol.

34%

Rio Ave

$0 Vol.

34%

Nacional

$0 Vol.

34%

Alverca

$5 Vol.

34%

Casa Pia

$0 Vol.

33%

Arouca

$0 Vol.

33%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Estrela da Amadora, Tondela, Vitória de Guimarães, and AVS near 39% for Primeira Liga 16th place—the relegation play-off spot—as standings show a fiercely contested mid-to-lower table after 27-28 matches, with Santa Clara, Estrela da Amadora, Nacional, and Casa Pia clustered at 25-28 points, just three points clear of Moreirense and others risking a slide. Recent results underscore the volatility: Vitória de Guimarães thrashed Tondela 5-0, Rio Ave edged Estrela da Amadora 2-1, and Santa Clara fell 4-2 at Sporting CP, while Nacional lost 0-1 to Estoril Praia and AVS dropped 0-1 to Santa Clara. With six matches remaining, including tough fixtures against top sides like Porto and Benfica, poor recent form for mid-table sides like Moreirense and Estoril keeps the race wide open for the final positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,673
End Date
Jun 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Estrela da Amadora, Tondela, Vitória de Guimarães, and AVS near 39% for Primeira Liga 16th place—the relegation play-off spot—as standings show a fiercely contested mid-to-lower table after 27-28 matches, with Santa Clara, Estrela da Amadora, Nacional, and Casa Pia clustered at 25-28 points, just three points clear of Moreirense and others risking a slide. Recent results underscore the volatility: Vitória de Guimarães thrashed Tondela 5-0, Rio Ave edged Estrela da Amadora 2-1, and Santa Clara fell 4-2 at Sporting CP, while Nacional lost 0-1 to Estoril Praia and AVS dropped 0-1 to Santa Clara. With six matches remaining, including tough fixtures against top sides like Porto and Benfica, poor recent form for mid-table sides like Moreirense and Estoril keeps the race wide open for the final positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,673
End Date
Jun 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Estrela da Amadora" at 40%, followed by "Tondela" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" is "Estrela da Amadora" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tondela" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.