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Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)

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Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)

Estrela da Amadora 44%

Tondela 33%

Casa Pia 31%

Nacional 31%

Polymarket
NEW

Estrela da Amadora 44%

Tondela 33%

Casa Pia 31%

Nacional 31%

Polymarket
NEW

Estrela da Amadora

$0 Vol.

44%

Tondela

$0 Vol.

33%

Casa Pia

$0 Vol.

31%

Nacional

$0 Vol.

31%

Vitória de Guimarães

$20 Vol.

30%

Estoril Praia

$80 Vol.

30%

Santa Clara

$0 Vol.

29%

Moreirense

$20 Vol.

29%

Arouca

$0 Vol.

29%

AVS

$0 Vol.

28%

Alverca

$5 Vol.

28%

Rio Ave

$0 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors Tondela at 32.5% implied probability to claim 16th place and the Primeira Liga relegation playoff spot, buoyed by their game in hand after a gritty 2-2 home draw against Gil Vicente on April 13, plus new manager Gonçalo Feio's impact since late March. Casa Pia (30%, current 16th on 25 points from 28 games), Nacional (30%, 15th on 25/29), and Vitória de Guimarães (29.5%) cluster tightly behind, separated by goal difference amid poor recent form—winless streaks and draws against top sides like Benfica. Santa Clara (28 points/29 games) and Estoril loom with favorable remaining fixtures versus doomed AVS and Alverca, underscoring the razor-thin margins in this survival scrap with five matchdays left.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,673
End Date
Jun 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors Tondela at 32.5% implied probability to claim 16th place and the Primeira Liga relegation playoff spot, buoyed by their game in hand after a gritty 2-2 home draw against Gil Vicente on April 13, plus new manager Gonçalo Feio's impact since late March. Casa Pia (30%, current 16th on 25 points from 28 games), Nacional (30%, 15th on 25/29), and Vitória de Guimarães (29.5%) cluster tightly behind, separated by goal difference amid poor recent form—winless streaks and draws against top sides like Benfica. Santa Clara (28 points/29 games) and Estoril loom with favorable remaining fixtures versus doomed AVS and Alverca, underscoring the razor-thin margins in this survival scrap with five matchdays left.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,673
End Date
Jun 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tondela" at 33%, followed by "Casa Pia" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" is "Tondela" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Casa Pia" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.