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Sports·Soccer

Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager

icon for Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager
Sports·Soccer

Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager

Marco Silva 100.0%

Antonio Conte <1%

Thomas Frank <1%

Filipe Luis <1%

Polymarket

$11,487 Vol.

Marco Silva 100.0%

Antonio Conte <1%

Thomas Frank <1%

Filipe Luis <1%

Polymarket

$11,487 Vol.

Antonio Conte

$466 Vol.

No

Thomas Frank

$540 Vol.

No

Marco Silva

$1,733 Vol.

Yes

Filipe Luis

$736 Vol.

No

Mauricio Pochettino

$817 Vol.

No

Cesc Fabregas

$1,122 Vol.

No

Zinedine Zidane

$1,331 Vol.

No

Maurizio Sarri

$362 Vol.

No

Pep Guardiola

$642 Vol.

No

Ruben Amorim

$741 Vol.

No

Xavi Hernandez

$748 Vol.

No

Oliver Glasner

$360 Vol.

No

Andoni Iraola

$597 Vol.

No

Carlo Ancelotti

$412 Vol.

No

Angel Di Maria

$881 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Marco Silva's appointment as Benfica's new head coach has driven near-certain trader consensus, following José Mourinho's confirmed exit to Real Madrid in early June 2026. Benfica formalized the deal on a two-year contract with an option for a further season, bringing the Portuguese manager back to the Primeira Liga after five years at Fulham. Recent reports highlight Silva's agreement with club president Rui Costa and sporting director Mário Branco, positioning him to lead the squad into Europa League qualifiers. Other listed candidates hold only residual probabilities because the role is now filled, with no active speculation around alternatives like Antonio Conte or Thomas Frank. Late contract complications or an unexpected withdrawal remain the only realistic paths that could shift resolution, though official announcements indicate the transition is complete.

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica.

If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,487
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Marco Silva's appointment as Benfica's new head coach has driven near-certain trader consensus, following José Mourinho's confirmed exit to Real Madrid in early June 2026. Benfica formalized the deal on a two-year contract with an option for a further season, bringing the Portuguese manager back to the Primeira Liga after five years at Fulham. Recent reports highlight Silva's agreement with club president Rui Costa and sporting director Mário Branco, positioning him to lead the squad into Europa League qualifiers. Other listed candidates hold only residual probabilities because the role is now filled, with no active speculation around alternatives like Antonio Conte or Thomas Frank. Late contract complications or an unexpected withdrawal remain the only realistic paths that could shift resolution, though official announcements indicate the transition is complete.

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica.

If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,487
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Silva" at 100%, followed by "Antonio Conte" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" has generated $11.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" is "Marco Silva" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Antonio Conte" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.