The September 27-28 by-election for Italy’s Calabria-05 Chamber seat, vacated after Francesco Cannizzaro’s mayoral win, features a narrow contest between center-right nominee Fabio Roscioli (Forza Italia treasurer backed by FI, FdI, Lega and allies) and center-left standard-bearer Frank Benedetto (cardiologist supported by PD, M5S and the “campo largo” alliance). Traders price the frontrunners near even because the constituency’s recent local results showed strong but not overwhelming center-right performance, while minor-party candidacies from Futuro Nazionale’s Domenico Giannetta and Democrazia Sovrana Popolare’s Francesco Toscano risk fragmenting the vote. With no late-breaking endorsements or turnout shifts reported, the outcome hinges on coalition discipline and mobilization in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFabio Roscioli 73%
Frank Benedetto 16%
Domenico Giannetta 5%
Francesco Toscano 3.1%

Fabio Roscioli
73%

Frank Benedetto
18%

Domenico Giannetta
5%

Francesco Toscano
3%
Fabio Roscioli 73%
Frank Benedetto 16%
Domenico Giannetta 5%
Francesco Toscano 3.1%

Fabio Roscioli
73%

Frank Benedetto
18%

Domenico Giannetta
5%

Francesco Toscano
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Resolution Source
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The September 27-28 by-election for Italy’s Calabria-05 Chamber seat, vacated after Francesco Cannizzaro’s mayoral win, features a narrow contest between center-right nominee Fabio Roscioli (Forza Italia treasurer backed by FI, FdI, Lega and allies) and center-left standard-bearer Frank Benedetto (cardiologist supported by PD, M5S and the “campo largo” alliance). Traders price the frontrunners near even because the constituency’s recent local results showed strong but not overwhelming center-right performance, while minor-party candidacies from Futuro Nazionale’s Domenico Giannetta and Democrazia Sovrana Popolare’s Francesco Toscano risk fragmenting the vote. With no late-breaking endorsements or turnout shifts reported, the outcome hinges on coalition discipline and mobilization in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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