South Carolina's long-standing Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests since 2003 underpins trader consensus favoring Alan Wilson at 93.5 percent. As attorney general, Wilson secured the GOP nomination in a decisive June 2026 runoff victory over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, consolidating party support after a crowded primary and dual Trump endorsement. The state faces an open race due to term limits on Gov. Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, has emphasized affordability, infrastructure, and health care but competes in a state where Republicans hold structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and electoral history. Recent polling shows Wilson ahead by single digits, though no major late developments have emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios such as a significant scandal or national political realignment could still shift dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSouth Carolina Governor Election Winner
South Carolina Governor Election Winner
$17,278 Vol.
$17,278 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Alan Wilson (R)
94%
Jermaine Johnson (D)
6%
$17,278 Vol.
$17,278 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Alan Wilson (R)
$10,033 Vol.
94%
Jermaine Johnson (D)
$7,245 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's long-standing Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests since 2003 underpins trader consensus favoring Alan Wilson at 93.5 percent. As attorney general, Wilson secured the GOP nomination in a decisive June 2026 runoff victory over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, consolidating party support after a crowded primary and dual Trump endorsement. The state faces an open race due to term limits on Gov. Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, has emphasized affordability, infrastructure, and health care but competes in a state where Republicans hold structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and electoral history. Recent polling shows Wilson ahead by single digits, though no major late developments have emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios such as a significant scandal or national political realignment could still shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$17,278End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's long-standing Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests since 2003 underpins trader consensus favoring Alan Wilson at 93.5 percent. As attorney general, Wilson secured the GOP nomination in a decisive June 2026 runoff victory over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, consolidating party support after a crowded primary and dual Trump endorsement. The state faces an open race due to term limits on Gov. Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, has emphasized affordability, infrastructure, and health care but competes in a state where Republicans hold structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and electoral history. Recent polling shows Wilson ahead by single digits, though no major late developments have emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios such as a significant scandal or national political realignment could still shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$17,278End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's long-standing Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests since 2003 underpins trader consensus favoring Alan Wilson at 93.5 percent. As attorney general, Wilson secured the GOP nomination in a decisive June 2026 runoff victory over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, consolidating party support after a crowded primary and dual Trump endorsement. The state faces an open race due to term limits on Gov. Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, has emphasized affordability, infrastructure, and health care but competes in a state where Republicans hold structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and electoral history. Recent polling shows Wilson ahead by single digits, though no major late developments have emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios such as a significant scandal or national political realignment could still shift dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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