SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded near $134–$137 in the days leading into the week of August 24, 2026, following the June IPO at $135 and subsequent volatility that included a brief spike above $225 before retreating amid heavy post-earnings lockup releases. The even distribution of implied probabilities across $115–$160 buckets underscores ongoing uncertainty driven by staggered share unlocks expanding the float, mixed Q2 results showing strong Starlink revenue growth offset by elevated capex and losses, and analyst price targets averaging above $210 that contrast with current multiples near 90x trailing sales. Recent price action reflects sensitivity to risk appetite, Treasury yields, and any Starship or satellite deployment updates, leaving near-term resolution dependent on trading volume and macroeconomic signals rather than a single catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$115 50%
$115-$120 48%
$135-$140 48%
$140-$145 48%
<$115
50%
$115-$120
48%
$120-$125
48%
$125-$130
48%
$130-$135
48%
$135-$140
48%
$140-$145
48%
$145-$150
48%
$150-$155
48%
$155-$160
48%
>$160
48%
<$115 50%
$115-$120 48%
$135-$140 48%
$140-$145 48%
<$115
50%
$115-$120
48%
$120-$125
48%
$125-$130
48%
$130-$135
48%
$135-$140
48%
$140-$145
48%
$145-$150
48%
$150-$155
48%
$155-$160
48%
>$160
48%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded near $134–$137 in the days leading into the week of August 24, 2026, following the June IPO at $135 and subsequent volatility that included a brief spike above $225 before retreating amid heavy post-earnings lockup releases. The even distribution of implied probabilities across $115–$160 buckets underscores ongoing uncertainty driven by staggered share unlocks expanding the float, mixed Q2 results showing strong Starlink revenue growth offset by elevated capex and losses, and analyst price targets averaging above $210 that contrast with current multiples near 90x trailing sales. Recent price action reflects sensitivity to risk appetite, Treasury yields, and any Starship or satellite deployment updates, leaving near-term resolution dependent on trading volume and macroeconomic signals rather than a single catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions