Strong corporate earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating second-quarter estimates amid AI-driven revenue growth, support the index near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026. However, the Federal Reserve's September rate hike and updated projections for a 4.1% median federal funds rate by year-end reflect persistent inflation, with core PCE at 3.4% and headline measures elevated by energy and supply factors. Ten-year Treasury yields near 5% have pressured valuations, prompting some strategists to trim targets to the 7,700–7,900 range while others hold 8,000-plus calls. Traders are weighing resilient GDP growth above 2% against geopolitical risks and limited seasonal catalysts through December.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$372,455 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ $8,600
9%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
66%
↓ $7,200
43%
↓ $7,000
25%
↓ $6,200
13%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ $5,800
7%
↓ $5,200
4%
↓ $4,500
4%
$372,455 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,126 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
11%
↑ $8,600
$31,871 Vol.
9%
↑ $8,200
$23,939 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Vol.
47%
↓ $7,400
$81 Vol.
66%
↓ $7,200
$415 Vol.
43%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 Vol.
25%
↓ $6,200
$60,396 Vol.
13%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 Vol.
9%
↓ $5,800
$44,511 Vol.
7%
↓ $5,200
$70,295 Vol.
4%
↓ $4,500
$62,517 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Strong corporate earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating second-quarter estimates amid AI-driven revenue growth, support the index near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026. However, the Federal Reserve's September rate hike and updated projections for a 4.1% median federal funds rate by year-end reflect persistent inflation, with core PCE at 3.4% and headline measures elevated by energy and supply factors. Ten-year Treasury yields near 5% have pressured valuations, prompting some strategists to trim targets to the 7,700–7,900 range while others hold 8,000-plus calls. Traders are weighing resilient GDP growth above 2% against geopolitical risks and limited seasonal catalysts through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$372,455End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Strong corporate earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating second-quarter estimates amid AI-driven revenue growth, support the index near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026. However, the Federal Reserve's September rate hike and updated projections for a 4.1% median federal funds rate by year-end reflect persistent inflation, with core PCE at 3.4% and headline measures elevated by energy and supply factors. Ten-year Treasury yields near 5% have pressured valuations, prompting some strategists to trim targets to the 7,700–7,900 range while others hold 8,000-plus calls. Traders are weighing resilient GDP growth above 2% against geopolitical risks and limited seasonal catalysts through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Volume
$372,455End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Strong corporate earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating second-quarter estimates amid AI-driven revenue growth, support the index near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026. However, the Federal Reserve's September rate hike and updated projections for a 4.1% median federal funds rate by year-end reflect persistent inflation, with core PCE at 3.4% and headline measures elevated by energy and supply factors. Ten-year Treasury yields near 5% have pressured valuations, prompting some strategists to trim targets to the 7,700–7,900 range while others hold 8,000-plus calls. Traders are weighing resilient GDP growth above 2% against geopolitical risks and limited seasonal catalysts through December.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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