The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 7,165 this week, propelled by robust Q1 2026 earnings beats from over a quarter of reporting companies, with analysts projecting 20%+ growth for the remainder of the year amid resilient consumer spending and AI-driven revenue trends. A steady labor market, with March unemployment at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs, alongside cooling core CPI inflation at 2.6% year-over-year, bolsters the soft-landing narrative, keeping the Fed funds rate anchored at 3.5%-3.75%. Trader consensus via Wall Street targets averages 7,650 by year-end, implying modest 7% upside, though elevated valuations temper enthusiasm. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and ongoing earnings reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$57,968 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ $8,600
11%
↑ $8,200
19%
↑ $7,800
29%
↑ $7,600
46%
↑ $7,400
70%
↓ $6,200
59%
↓ $5,800
36%
↓ $5,200
19%
↓ $4,500
12%
$57,968 Vol.
↑ $9,300
$1,277 Vol.
6%
↑ $8,600
$2,509 Vol.
11%
↑ $8,200
$670 Vol.
19%
↑ $7,800
$580 Vol.
29%
↑ $7,600
$3,652 Vol.
46%
↑ $7,400
$1,398 Vol.
70%
↓ $6,200
$10,662 Vol.
59%
↓ $5,800
$10,140 Vol.
36%
↓ $5,200
$7,847 Vol.
19%
↓ $4,500
$10,631 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 7,165 this week, propelled by robust Q1 2026 earnings beats from over a quarter of reporting companies, with analysts projecting 20%+ growth for the remainder of the year amid resilient consumer spending and AI-driven revenue trends. A steady labor market, with March unemployment at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs, alongside cooling core CPI inflation at 2.6% year-over-year, bolsters the soft-landing narrative, keeping the Fed funds rate anchored at 3.5%-3.75%. Trader consensus via Wall Street targets averages 7,650 by year-end, implying modest 7% upside, though elevated valuations temper enthusiasm. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and ongoing earnings reports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$57,968End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 7,165 this week, propelled by robust Q1 2026 earnings beats from over a quarter of reporting companies, with analysts projecting 20%+ growth for the remainder of the year amid resilient consumer spending and AI-driven revenue trends. A steady labor market, with March unemployment at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs, alongside cooling core CPI inflation at 2.6% year-over-year, bolsters the soft-landing narrative, keeping the Fed funds rate anchored at 3.5%-3.75%. Trader consensus via Wall Street targets averages 7,650 by year-end, implying modest 7% upside, though elevated valuations temper enthusiasm. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and ongoing earnings reports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$57,968End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 7,165 this week, propelled by robust Q1 2026 earnings beats from over a quarter of reporting companies, with analysts projecting 20%+ growth for the remainder of the year amid resilient consumer spending and AI-driven revenue trends. A steady labor market, with March unemployment at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs, alongside cooling core CPI inflation at 2.6% year-over-year, bolsters the soft-landing narrative, keeping the Fed funds rate anchored at 3.5%-3.75%. Trader consensus via Wall Street targets averages 7,650 by year-end, implying modest 7% upside, though elevated valuations temper enthusiasm. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and ongoing earnings reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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