Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates amid robust AI-driven revenue growth, remain the dominant catalyst supporting trader sentiment for higher year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index closed recently at 7,673, up 12% year-to-date, as firms like Barclays and HSBC lifted targets to 7,950–8,100 on revised EPS forecasts exceeding $365. Elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, sticky inflation, and market-implied odds of a potential 25-basis-point Fed hike have lifted 10-year Treasury yields above 4.8%, introducing volatility. Upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications will test whether earnings momentum can sustain the rally into December amid these macro pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$341,008 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
4%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,600
10%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
48%
↓ $7,400
72%
↓ $7,200
52%
↓ $7,000
27%
↓ $6,200
10%
↓ $6,000
11%
↓ $5,800
8%
↓ $5,200
6%
↓ $4,500
3%
$341,008 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$203 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,538 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$78 Vol.
3%
↑ $8,600
$30,614 Vol.
10%
↑ $8,200
$23,827 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$559 Vol.
48%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
72%
↓ $7,200
$5 Vol.
52%
↓ $7,000
$343 Vol.
27%
↓ $6,200
$53,694 Vol.
10%
↓ $6,000
$2,970 Vol.
11%
↓ $5,800
$41,790 Vol.
8%
↓ $5,200
$57,085 Vol.
6%
↓ $4,500
$60,252 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates amid robust AI-driven revenue growth, remain the dominant catalyst supporting trader sentiment for higher year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index closed recently at 7,673, up 12% year-to-date, as firms like Barclays and HSBC lifted targets to 7,950–8,100 on revised EPS forecasts exceeding $365. Elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, sticky inflation, and market-implied odds of a potential 25-basis-point Fed hike have lifted 10-year Treasury yields above 4.8%, introducing volatility. Upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications will test whether earnings momentum can sustain the rally into December amid these macro pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$341,008End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates amid robust AI-driven revenue growth, remain the dominant catalyst supporting trader sentiment for higher year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index closed recently at 7,673, up 12% year-to-date, as firms like Barclays and HSBC lifted targets to 7,950–8,100 on revised EPS forecasts exceeding $365. Elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, sticky inflation, and market-implied odds of a potential 25-basis-point Fed hike have lifted 10-year Treasury yields above 4.8%, introducing volatility. Upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications will test whether earnings momentum can sustain the rally into December amid these macro pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$341,008End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates amid robust AI-driven revenue growth, remain the dominant catalyst supporting trader sentiment for higher year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index closed recently at 7,673, up 12% year-to-date, as firms like Barclays and HSBC lifted targets to 7,950–8,100 on revised EPS forecasts exceeding $365. Elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel from Middle East tensions, sticky inflation, and market-implied odds of a potential 25-basis-point Fed hike have lifted 10-year Treasury yields above 4.8%, introducing volatility. Upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications will test whether earnings momentum can sustain the rally into December amid these macro pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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