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Politics·AG

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

icon for Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner
Politics·AG

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

$16,612 Vol.

Polymarket

$16,612 Vol.

Chip Roy

$8,813 Vol.

No

Mayes Middleton

$7,800 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mayes Middleton secured the Republican nomination for Texas attorney general in the May 26 runoff by defeating U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, a result that aligns with the market's near-certain pricing on Middleton. Middleton, a state senator and oil and gas executive, overcame Roy's higher name recognition through substantial self-funding exceeding $16 million, which supported extensive television and mail advertising highlighting alignment with President Trump. Roy faced criticism for past positions seen as diverging from the president. Official results showed Middleton prevailing by roughly ten points, consistent with late primary polling. With the contest concluded, remaining factors for full resolution include any procedural certification or recounts, though none appear likely to alter the outcome at this stage.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$16,612
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mayes Middleton secured the Republican nomination for Texas attorney general in the May 26 runoff by defeating U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, a result that aligns with the market's near-certain pricing on Middleton. Middleton, a state senator and oil and gas executive, overcame Roy's higher name recognition through substantial self-funding exceeding $16 million, which supported extensive television and mail advertising highlighting alignment with President Trump. Roy faced criticism for past positions seen as diverging from the president. Official results showed Middleton prevailing by roughly ten points, consistent with late primary polling. With the contest concluded, remaining factors for full resolution include any procedural certification or recounts, though none appear likely to alter the outcome at this stage.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$16,612
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mayes Middleton" at 100%, followed by "Chip Roy" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" has generated $16.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" is "Mayes Middleton" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chip Roy" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.