Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen lead the Titled Tuesday field with implied probabilities of 25% and 23%, reflecting their unmatched records in Chess.com’s weekly 11-round Swiss for titled players. Nakamura holds the all-time win count with consistent top finishes in blitz formats, while Carlsen has secured multiple victories through 2025 and early 2026, including strong showings against elite opposition. The narrow gap captures trader consensus on their edge in rapid decision-making and preparation, tempered by a deep field of grandmasters where any single upset or variance in form can shift outcomes. Recent head-to-head results and historical participation rates further anchor expectations for these two ahead of the August 11 event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHikaru Nakamura 25%
Magnus Carlsen 23%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 11%
Alireza Firouzja 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
Hikaru Nakamura
25%
Magnus Carlsen
23%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
11%
Alireza Firouzja
7%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
Volen Dyulgerov
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
David Anton
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Vincent Keymer
5%
Wesley So
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Fabiano Caruana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Levon Aronian
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Tuomas Turunen
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Hikaru Nakamura 25%
Magnus Carlsen 23%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 11%
Alireza Firouzja 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
Hikaru Nakamura
$0 Vol.
25%
Magnus Carlsen
$0 Vol.
23%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
$0 Vol.
11%
Alireza Firouzja
$0 Vol.
7%
Arjun Erigaisi
$0 Vol.
5%
Alexander Grischuk
$0 Vol.
5%
Aleksei Sarana
$0 Vol.
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
$0 Vol.
5%
Frederik Svane
$0 Vol.
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
$0 Vol.
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
$0 Vol.
5%
Rudik Makarian
$0 Vol.
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
$0 Vol.
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
$0 Vol.
5%
Le Tuan Minh
$0 Vol.
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
$0 Vol.
5%
Volen Dyulgerov
$0 Vol.
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
$0 Vol.
5%
Haowen Xue
$0 Vol.
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
$0 Vol.
5%
David Anton
$0 Vol.
5%
Hans Niemann
$0 Vol.
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
$0 Vol.
5%
Nihal Sarin
$0 Vol.
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
$0 Vol.
5%
Jules Moussard
$0 Vol.
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
$0 Vol.
5%
Vincent Keymer
$0 Vol.
5%
Wesley So
$0 Vol.
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
$0 Vol.
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
$0 Vol.
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
$0 Vol.
5%
Ding Liren
$0 Vol.
5%
Denis Lazavik
$0 Vol.
5%
Sina Movahed
$0 Vol.
5%
Fabiano Caruana
$0 Vol.
5%
Benjamin Bok
$0 Vol.
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
$0 Vol.
5%
Rasmus Svane
$0 Vol.
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
$0 Vol.
5%
Haik Martirosyan
$0 Vol.
5%
Jose Martinez
$0 Vol.
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
$0 Vol.
5%
Sam Sevian
$0 Vol.
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
$0 Vol.
5%
Andrey Esipenko
$0 Vol.
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
$0 Vol.
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
$0 Vol.
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
$0 Vol.
5%
Faustino Oro
$0 Vol.
5%
Sergey Sklokin
$0 Vol.
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
$0 Vol.
5%
Jeffery Xiong
$0 Vol.
5%
Levon Aronian
$0 Vol.
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
$0 Vol.
5%
Wei Yi
$0 Vol.
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
$0 Vol.
5%
Christopher Yoo
$0 Vol.
5%
Awonder Liang
$0 Vol.
5%
Andrew Tang
$0 Vol.
5%
Tuomas Turunen
$0 Vol.
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
$0 Vol.
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
$0 Vol.
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
$0 Vol.
5%
Brandon Jacobson
$0 Vol.
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen lead the Titled Tuesday field with implied probabilities of 25% and 23%, reflecting their unmatched records in Chess.com’s weekly 11-round Swiss for titled players. Nakamura holds the all-time win count with consistent top finishes in blitz formats, while Carlsen has secured multiple victories through 2025 and early 2026, including strong showings against elite opposition. The narrow gap captures trader consensus on their edge in rapid decision-making and preparation, tempered by a deep field of grandmasters where any single upset or variance in form can shift outcomes. Recent head-to-head results and historical participation rates further anchor expectations for these two ahead of the August 11 event.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen lead the Titled Tuesday field with implied probabilities of 25% and 23%, reflecting their unmatched records in Chess.com’s weekly 11-round Swiss for titled players. Nakamura holds the all-time win count with consistent top finishes in blitz formats, while Carlsen has secured multiple victories through 2025 and early 2026, including strong showings against elite opposition. The narrow gap captures trader consensus on their edge in rapid decision-making and preparation, tempered by a deep field of grandmasters where any single upset or variance in form can shift outcomes. Recent head-to-head results and historical participation rates further anchor expectations for these two ahead of the August 11 event.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen lead the Titled Tuesday field with implied probabilities of 25% and 23%, reflecting their unmatched records in Chess.com’s weekly 11-round Swiss for titled players. Nakamura holds the all-time win count with consistent top finishes in blitz formats, while Carlsen has secured multiple victories through 2025 and early 2026, including strong showings against elite opposition. The narrow gap captures trader consensus on their edge in rapid decision-making and preparation, tempered by a deep field of grandmasters where any single upset or variance in form can shift outcomes. Recent head-to-head results and historical participation rates further anchor expectations for these two ahead of the August 11 event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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