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icon for Titled Tuesday Winner: September 15
Sports·Chess

Titled Tuesday Winner: September 15

icon for Titled Tuesday Winner: September 15
Sports·Chess

Titled Tuesday Winner: September 15

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Magnus Carlsen 36%

Hikaru Nakamura 36%

Arjun Erigaisi 11%

Alireza Firouzja 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Magnus Carlsen 36%

Hikaru Nakamura 36%

Arjun Erigaisi 11%

Alireza Firouzja 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Magnus Carlsen

$328 Vol.

19%

Hikaru Nakamura

$0 Vol.

36%

Arjun Erigaisi

$0 Vol.

11%

Alireza Firouzja

$0 Vol.

11%

Alexander Grischuk

$0 Vol.

11%

Aleksei Sarana

$0 Vol.

11%

Denis Lazavik

$0 Vol.

9%

Aravindh Chithambaram

$0 Vol.

9%

Andrey Esipenko

$0 Vol.

9%

Aleksandar Indjic

$0 Vol.

9%

Aleksandr Shimanov

$0 Vol.

9%

Benjamin Bok

$0 Vol.

9%

Bardiya Daneshvar

$0 Vol.

9%

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

$0 Vol.

9%

Cristobal Henriquez Villagra

$0 Vol.

9%

Dmitry Andreikin

$0 Vol.

9%

David Anton

$0 Vol.

9%

Dau Khuong Duy

$0 Vol.

9%

Dincer Tasdogen

$0 Vol.

9%

Fabiano Caruana

$0 Vol.

9%

Faustino Oro

$0 Vol.

9%

Frederik Svane

$0 Vol.

9%

Haik Martirosyan

$0 Vol.

9%

Hans Niemann

$0 Vol.

9%

Haowen Xue

$0 Vol.

9%

Ian Nepomniachtchi

$0 Vol.

9%

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

$0 Vol.

9%

Jose Martinez

$0 Vol.

9%

Jules Moussard

$0 Vol.

9%

Javokhir Sindarov

$0 Vol.

9%

Jeffery Xiong

$0 Vol.

9%

Levon Aronian

$0 Vol.

9%

Le Tuan Minh

$0 Vol.

9%

Matthias Bluebaum

$0 Vol.

9%

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

$0 Vol.

9%

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

$0 Vol.

9%

Nihal Sarin

$0 Vol.

9%

Nikolas Theodorou

$0 Vol.

9%

Oleksandr Bortnyk

$0 Vol.

9%

Parham Maghsoodloo

$0 Vol.

9%

Pranesh Munirethinam

$0 Vol.

9%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$0 Vol.

9%

Pranav Venkatesh

$0 Vol.

9%

Renato Terry Lujan

$0 Vol.

9%

Rasmus Svane

$0 Vol.

9%

Sam Sevian

$0 Vol.

9%

Sergey Sklokin

$0 Vol.

9%

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

$0 Vol.

9%

Shamsiddin Vokhidov

$0 Vol.

9%

Vladislav Artemiev

$0 Vol.

9%

Volen Dyulgerov

$0 Vol.

9%

Vincent Keymer

$0 Vol.

9%

Wesley So

$0 Vol.

9%

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

$0 Vol.

9%

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

$0 Vol.

9%

Gukesh Dommaraju

$0 Vol.

9%

Ding Liren

$0 Vol.

9%

Wei Yi

$0 Vol.

9%

Vladimir Fedoseev

$0 Vol.

9%

Brandon Jacobson

$0 Vol.

9%

Christopher Yoo

$0 Vol.

9%

Awonder Liang

$0 Vol.

9%

Andrew Tang

$0 Vol.

9%

Tuomas Turunen

$0 Vol.

9%

Sina Movahed

$0 Vol.

5%

Rudik Makarian

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 15, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead the Titled Tuesday market at equal 18.5% implied probabilities due to their unmatched historical dominance in the weekly 5+0 blitz Swiss on Chess.com, where Nakamura holds the all-time win record and Carlsen ranks second. Recent form supports the tight spread: Nakamura finished second on September 8 behind Lê Quang Liêm, while Carlsen secured victories in prior editions and remains active in team events like the Global Chess League. The deep field of 450-plus titled players, including consistent performers such as Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, Jan-Krzysztof Duda, and Hans Niemann, creates high variance across 11 rounds. Multiple recent winners from outside the top seeds underscore the competitive parity and upset potential that keeps the consensus bunched.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 15, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 15, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$328
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 15, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead the Titled Tuesday market at equal 18.5% implied probabilities due to their unmatched historical dominance in the weekly 5+0 blitz Swiss on Chess.com, where Nakamura holds the all-time win record and Carlsen ranks second. Recent form supports the tight spread: Nakamura finished second on September 8 behind Lê Quang Liêm, while Carlsen secured victories in prior editions and remains active in team events like the Global Chess League. The deep field of 450-plus titled players, including consistent performers such as Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, Jan-Krzysztof Duda, and Hans Niemann, creates high variance across 11 rounds. Multiple recent winners from outside the top seeds underscore the competitive parity and upset potential that keeps the consensus bunched.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 15, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 15, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$328
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Titled Tuesday Winner: September 15" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magnus Carlsen" at 19%, followed by "Hikaru Nakamura" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Titled Tuesday Winner: September 15" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Titled Tuesday Winner: September 15," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Titled Tuesday Winner: September 15" is "Magnus Carlsen" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hikaru Nakamura" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Titled Tuesday Winner: September 15" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.