Tesla shares closed July 17, 2026, near $381 after trading in a $377–$386 intraday range, down roughly 3% on the week amid broader market caution. The dominant near-term catalyst is the July 22 post-close Q2 earnings release, which follows stronger-than-expected deliveries of 480,126 vehicles in the quarter and ongoing investor focus on automotive margins, Full Self-Driving progress, and updates on robotaxi and Optimus initiatives. Analysts’ consensus price targets cluster near $401–$421, yet the stock’s forward P/E above 190x leaves limited room for disappointment on profitability or guidance. Elevated options-implied volatility and retail positioning ahead of the print suggest the week’s closing level will hinge on whether results and commentary confirm the shift toward autonomy-driven growth or highlight persistent EV competition and margin pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Jul 24, 2026
$350
75%
$355
70%
$360
76%
$365
72%
$370
58%
$375
54%
$380
49%
$385
44%
$390
40%
$395
35%
$400
26%
$405
23%
$410
25%
$0.00 Vol.
$350
$0 Vol.
75%
$355
$0 Vol.
70%
$360
$0 Vol.
76%
$365
$0 Vol.
72%
$370
$0 Vol.
58%
$375
$0 Vol.
54%
$380
$0 Vol.
49%
$385
$0 Vol.
44%
$390
$0 Vol.
40%
$395
$0 Vol.
35%
$400
$0 Vol.
26%
$405
$0 Vol.
23%
$410
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.Tesla shares closed July 17, 2026, near $381 after trading in a $377–$386 intraday range, down roughly 3% on the week amid broader market caution. The dominant near-term catalyst is the July 22 post-close Q2 earnings release, which follows stronger-than-expected deliveries of 480,126 vehicles in the quarter and ongoing investor focus on automotive margins, Full Self-Driving progress, and updates on robotaxi and Optimus initiatives. Analysts’ consensus price targets cluster near $401–$421, yet the stock’s forward P/E above 190x leaves limited room for disappointment on profitability or guidance. Elevated options-implied volatility and retail positioning ahead of the print suggest the week’s closing level will hinge on whether results and commentary confirm the shift toward autonomy-driven growth or highlight persistent EV competition and margin pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.Tesla shares closed July 17, 2026, near $381 after trading in a $377–$386 intraday range, down roughly 3% on the week amid broader market caution. The dominant near-term catalyst is the July 22 post-close Q2 earnings release, which follows stronger-than-expected deliveries of 480,126 vehicles in the quarter and ongoing investor focus on automotive margins, Full Self-Driving progress, and updates on robotaxi and Optimus initiatives. Analysts’ consensus price targets cluster near $401–$421, yet the stock’s forward P/E above 190x leaves limited room for disappointment on profitability or guidance. Elevated options-implied volatility and retail positioning ahead of the print suggest the week’s closing level will hinge on whether results and commentary confirm the shift toward autonomy-driven growth or highlight persistent EV competition and margin pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares closed July 17, 2026, near $381 after trading in a $377–$386 intraday range, down roughly 3% on the week amid broader market caution. The dominant near-term catalyst is the July 22 post-close Q2 earnings release, which follows stronger-than-expected deliveries of 480,126 vehicles in the quarter and ongoing investor focus on automotive margins, Full Self-Driving progress, and updates on robotaxi and Optimus initiatives. Analysts’ consensus price targets cluster near $401–$421, yet the stock’s forward P/E above 190x leaves limited room for disappointment on profitability or guidance. Elevated options-implied volatility and retail positioning ahead of the print suggest the week’s closing level will hinge on whether results and commentary confirm the shift toward autonomy-driven growth or highlight persistent EV competition and margin pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions