Arsenal's 1-0 first-leg victory at Sporting CP, sealed by Kai Havertz's stoppage-time goal last week, combined with home advantage at Emirates Stadium, drives trader consensus favoring a Gunners win at 66.5% implied probability in this Champions League quarter-final second leg. Despite Arsenal's injury woes—Martin Ødegaard out with physical discomfort, Riccardo Calafiori sidelined by a knock, and Bukayo Saka questionable alongside Jurriën Timber and Mikel Merino—their squad depth and unbeaten European record against Sporting (W2 D3, including a 5-1 league-phase thrashing) bolster confidence. Sporting face fresh setbacks with Ivan Fresneda and João Simões doubtful, exacerbating absences like Nuno Santos, weakening their upset bid at 13.5% while draw pricing at 21.5% reflects a tight contest potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Arsenal's 1-0 first-leg victory at Sporting CP, sealed by Kai Havertz's stoppage-time goal last week, combined with home advantage at Emirates Stadium, drives trader consensus favoring a Gunners win at 66.5% implied probability in this Champions League quarter-final second leg. Despite Arsenal's injury woes—Martin Ødegaard out with physical discomfort, Riccardo Calafiori sidelined by a knock, and Bukayo Saka questionable alongside Jurriën Timber and Mikel Merino—their squad depth and unbeaten European record against Sporting (W2 D3, including a 5-1 league-phase thrashing) bolster confidence. Sporting face fresh setbacks with Ivan Fresneda and João Simões doubtful, exacerbating absences like Nuno Santos, weakening their upset bid at 13.5% while draw pricing at 21.5% reflects a tight contest potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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