Quarterfinal triumphs propelled Bayern Munich (6-4 agg. over Real Madrid), Arsenal (1-0 agg. over Sporting CP), PSG (4-0 agg. over Liverpool), and Atlético Madrid (3-2 agg. over Barcelona) into the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League semifinals, with trader consensus tightly clustered around the top three at 33.5%, 28.5%, and 25.5% implied probabilities. Bayern edges ahead on momentum from Harry Kane's clinical finishing and Vincent Kompany's tactical setup in their thriller against Real, while Arsenal's defensive resilience and PSG's ruthless efficiency underscore the parity. Atlético trails at 11.9% despite gritty comeback versus Barcelona, as the blockbuster semifinal matchups—Bayern-PSG firepower clash and Arsenal-Atlético siege warfare—promise upsets in two-legged ties leading to the Budapest final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBayern Munich 34%
Arsenal 29%
PSG 26%
Atletico Madrid 11.9%
$240,629,510 Vol.
$240,629,510 Vol.
Bayern Munich
34%
Arsenal
29%
PSG
26%
Atletico Madrid
12%
Club Brugge
<1%
Bayern Munich 34%
Arsenal 29%
PSG 26%
Atletico Madrid 11.9%
$240,629,510 Vol.
$240,629,510 Vol.
Bayern Munich
34%
Arsenal
29%
PSG
26%
Atletico Madrid
12%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Quarterfinal triumphs propelled Bayern Munich (6-4 agg. over Real Madrid), Arsenal (1-0 agg. over Sporting CP), PSG (4-0 agg. over Liverpool), and Atlético Madrid (3-2 agg. over Barcelona) into the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League semifinals, with trader consensus tightly clustered around the top three at 33.5%, 28.5%, and 25.5% implied probabilities. Bayern edges ahead on momentum from Harry Kane's clinical finishing and Vincent Kompany's tactical setup in their thriller against Real, while Arsenal's defensive resilience and PSG's ruthless efficiency underscore the parity. Atlético trails at 11.9% despite gritty comeback versus Barcelona, as the blockbuster semifinal matchups—Bayern-PSG firepower clash and Arsenal-Atlético siege warfare—promise upsets in two-legged ties leading to the Budapest final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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