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Sports·Soccer

UEFA Champions League Winner

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Sports·Soccer

UEFA Champions League Winner

Bayern Munich 34%

Arsenal 29%

PSG 26%

Atletico Madrid 11.8%

Polymarket

$240,610,015 Vol.

Bayern Munich 34%

Arsenal 29%

PSG 26%

Atletico Madrid 11.8%

Polymarket

$240,610,015 Vol.

Bayern Munich

$4,949,378 Vol.

34%

Arsenal

$4,631,682 Vol.

29%

PSG

$6,390,687 Vol.

26%

Atletico Madrid

$18,469,274 Vol.

12%

Club Brugge

$19,108,355 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With UEFA Champions League semifinals confirmed as PSG vs Bayern Munich and Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid—first legs set for late April—trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive race, pricing Bayern at 33.5% implied probability, Arsenal at 28.5%, and PSG at 25.5% to lift the trophy in Budapest on May 30. Bayern's momentum stems from a thrilling 5-4 aggregate comeback over Real Madrid in the quarterfinals, highlighted by Harry Kane's clinical finishing. Arsenal advanced on a narrow 1-0 aggregate against Sporting CP, showcasing defensive solidity. PSG dominated Liverpool 4-0 on aggregate with goals from Désiré Doué and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, while Atletico edged Barcelona 3-2 overall via Diego Simeone's tactical masterclass. These tight knockout results, balanced star power, and home advantages in first legs keep the top outcomes bunched, underscoring upset potential in the two-legged ties.

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$240,610,015
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With UEFA Champions League semifinals confirmed as PSG vs Bayern Munich and Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid—first legs set for late April—trader consensus reflects a fiercely competitive race, pricing Bayern at 33.5% implied probability, Arsenal at 28.5%, and PSG at 25.5% to lift the trophy in Budapest on May 30. Bayern's momentum stems from a thrilling 5-4 aggregate comeback over Real Madrid in the quarterfinals, highlighted by Harry Kane's clinical finishing. Arsenal advanced on a narrow 1-0 aggregate against Sporting CP, showcasing defensive solidity. PSG dominated Liverpool 4-0 on aggregate with goals from Désiré Doué and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, while Atletico edged Barcelona 3-2 overall via Diego Simeone's tactical masterclass. These tight knockout results, balanced star power, and home advantages in first legs keep the top outcomes bunched, underscoring upset potential in the two-legged ties.

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$240,610,015
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

100%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Champions League Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 39 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bayern Munich" at 34%, followed by "Arsenal" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA Champions League Winner " has generated $240.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA Champions League Winner ," browse the 39 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Champions League Winner " is "Bayern Munich" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arsenal" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Champions League Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.