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UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis

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UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis

$86,752 Vol.

May 8, 2026
Polymarket

$86,752 Vol.

Polymarket

Aston Villa

$1,406 Vol.

97%

Freiburg

$28,708 Vol.

93%

Real Betis

$3,242 Vol.

70%

Nottingham Forest

$5,046 Vol.

55%

Porto

$3,172 Vol.

45%

Braga

$633 Vol.

32%

Celta

$24,172 Vol.

9%

Bologna

$20,375 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Freiburg's commanding 3-0 first-leg victory over Celta Vigo and Aston Villa's 3-1 away win at Bologna have positioned them as trader favorites to advance in the UEFA Europa League quarterfinals, with second legs today testing their leads amid away and home scenarios respectively. The 1-1 draws between Braga and Real Betis, plus Porto and Nottingham Forest, leave those knockout ties evenly poised, heightening the role of home advantage for Betis and Forest in potential extra time or penalties. No major injuries reported in official updates, but recent domestic form—Freiburg's defensive solidity and Villa's attacking momentum—underpins current implied probabilities, while upsets remain possible in Europe's secondary club competition.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$86,752
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Freiburg's commanding 3-0 first-leg victory over Celta Vigo and Aston Villa's 3-1 away win at Bologna have positioned them as trader favorites to advance in the UEFA Europa League quarterfinals, with second legs today testing their leads amid away and home scenarios respectively. The 1-1 draws between Braga and Real Betis, plus Porto and Nottingham Forest, leave those knockout ties evenly poised, heightening the role of home advantage for Betis and Forest in potential extra time or penalties. No major injuries reported in official updates, but recent domestic form—Freiburg's defensive solidity and Villa's attacking momentum—underpins current implied probabilities, while upsets remain possible in Europe's secondary club competition.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$86,752
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aston Villa" at 97%, followed by "Freiburg" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" has generated $86.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" is "Aston Villa" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Freiburg" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.