Freiburg's commanding 3-0 first-leg victory over Celta Vigo and Aston Villa's 3-1 away win at Bologna have positioned them as trader favorites to advance in the UEFA Europa League quarterfinals, with second legs today testing their leads amid away and home scenarios respectively. The 1-1 draws between Braga and Real Betis, plus Porto and Nottingham Forest, leave those knockout ties evenly poised, heightening the role of home advantage for Betis and Forest in potential extra time or penalties. No major injuries reported in official updates, but recent domestic form—Freiburg's defensive solidity and Villa's attacking momentum—underpins current implied probabilities, while upsets remain possible in Europe's secondary club competition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$86,752 Vol.
Aston Villa
97%
Freiburg
93%
Real Betis
70%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Porto
45%
Braga
32%
Celta
9%
Bologna
3%
$86,752 Vol.
Aston Villa
97%
Freiburg
93%
Real Betis
70%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Porto
45%
Braga
32%
Celta
9%
Bologna
3%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Freiburg's commanding 3-0 first-leg victory over Celta Vigo and Aston Villa's 3-1 away win at Bologna have positioned them as trader favorites to advance in the UEFA Europa League quarterfinals, with second legs today testing their leads amid away and home scenarios respectively. The 1-1 draws between Braga and Real Betis, plus Porto and Nottingham Forest, leave those knockout ties evenly poised, heightening the role of home advantage for Betis and Forest in potential extra time or penalties. No major injuries reported in official updates, but recent domestic form—Freiburg's defensive solidity and Villa's attacking momentum—underpins current implied probabilities, while upsets remain possible in Europe's secondary club competition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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