Aston Villa's commanding 3-1 first-leg victory in Bologna has solidified their home favoritism at Villa Park for this UEFA Europa League quarter-final second leg, with trader consensus implying 59.5% probability of another Villa win amid a two-goal aggregate cushion that eases pressure. Unai Emery's side benefits from strong home form and depth despite Jadon Sancho's shoulder injury and Emiliano Martínez's recent fitness doubts, while long-term absentee Boubacar Kamara is sidelined. Bologna grapples with a defensive injury crisis—goalkeeper Łukasz Skorupski out with a muscle issue, plus Jens Odgaard, Thijs Dallinga absent, and Jhon Lucumí suspended—forcing makeshift backline adjustments and fueling the 23.5% draw and 18.5% Bologna win probabilities as they chase a comeback.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Aston Villa FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Aston Villa FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aston Villa's commanding 3-1 first-leg victory in Bologna has solidified their home favoritism at Villa Park for this UEFA Europa League quarter-final second leg, with trader consensus implying 59.5% probability of another Villa win amid a two-goal aggregate cushion that eases pressure. Unai Emery's side benefits from strong home form and depth despite Jadon Sancho's shoulder injury and Emiliano Martínez's recent fitness doubts, while long-term absentee Boubacar Kamara is sidelined. Bologna grapples with a defensive injury crisis—goalkeeper Łukasz Skorupski out with a muscle issue, plus Jens Odgaard, Thijs Dallinga absent, and Jhon Lucumí suspended—forcing makeshift backline adjustments and fueling the 23.5% draw and 18.5% Bologna win probabilities as they chase a comeback.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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