Rangers midfielder Mohamed Diomande commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for most red cards in the 2025/26 UEFA Europa League, stemming from his unique two dismissals—one straight red against Genk and a second yellow versus Braga—while no other player exceeds one. With Rangers long eliminated from the knockout phase and only the May 20 final between SC Freiburg and Aston Villa remaining, no competitor can realistically surpass two reds in a single match. Freiburg's Maximilian Eggestein, holding one straight red from January's Lille clash, trails at 0.1%; a final dismissal would merely tie Diomande's total, but traders dismiss this upset given low foul rates and referee tendencies in title deciders. Recent semi-final results (Freiburg advancing 4-3 aggregate over Braga, Aston Villa 4-1 over Nottingham Forest) produced no additional multi-red shifts, cementing the lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMohamed Diomande 100.0%
Gianluca Mancini <1%
Eivind Helland <1%
Vasilios Barkas <1%
$77,556 Vol.
$77,556 Vol.
Mohamed Diomande
Yes
Gianluca Mancini
No
Eivind Helland
No
Vasilios Barkas
No
Tomasz Kędziora
No
Elliot Anderson
No
Jhon Durán
No
Sagiv Yehezkel
No
Maximilian Eggestein
No
Armin Gigovic
No
Reo Hatate
No
Matěj Vydra
No
Mohamed Diomande 100.0%
Gianluca Mancini <1%
Eivind Helland <1%
Vasilios Barkas <1%
$77,556 Vol.
$77,556 Vol.
Mohamed Diomande
Yes
Gianluca Mancini
No
Eivind Helland
No
Vasilios Barkas
No
Tomasz Kędziora
No
Elliot Anderson
No
Jhon Durán
No
Sagiv Yehezkel
No
Maximilian Eggestein
No
Armin Gigovic
No
Reo Hatate
No
Matěj Vydra
No
For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Rangers midfielder Mohamed Diomande commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability for most red cards in the 2025/26 UEFA Europa League, stemming from his unique two dismissals—one straight red against Genk and a second yellow versus Braga—while no other player exceeds one. With Rangers long eliminated from the knockout phase and only the May 20 final between SC Freiburg and Aston Villa remaining, no competitor can realistically surpass two reds in a single match. Freiburg's Maximilian Eggestein, holding one straight red from January's Lille clash, trails at 0.1%; a final dismissal would merely tie Diomande's total, but traders dismiss this upset given low foul rates and referee tendencies in title deciders. Recent semi-final results (Freiburg advancing 4-3 aggregate over Braga, Aston Villa 4-1 over Nottingham Forest) produced no additional multi-red shifts, cementing the lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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