Crystal Palace tops trader consensus at 46% implied probability after a commanding 3-0 quarter-final first-leg win over Fiorentina at Selhurst Park, showcasing Premier League depth, clinical finishing from Ismaïla Sarr and Maxence Lacroix, and defensive solidity that has propelled them through prior knockout rounds including extra-time victory over AEK Larnaca. Rayo Vallecano sits at 20% following their 3-0 home triumph against AEK Athens, highlighting La Liga grit and home form. Mainz (17.5%) holds a 2-0 edge on Strasbourg via strong Bundesliga organization, while Shakhtar Donetsk (12.5%) leads AZ Alkmaar 3-0, leveraging European experience amid Ukraine's challenges. Second-leg returns offer cushion advantages, though upsets remain possible in the race to the May final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCrystal Palace 46%
Rayo Vallecano 26%
Shakhtar Donetsk 13%
Mainz 12%
$32,254 Vol.
$32,254 Vol.
Crystal Palace
46%
Rayo Vallecano
21%
Shakhtar Donetsk
13%
Mainz
18%
Strasbourg
6%
AEK Athens
5%
AZ Alkmaar
2%
Fiorentina
1%
Crystal Palace 46%
Rayo Vallecano 26%
Shakhtar Donetsk 13%
Mainz 12%
$32,254 Vol.
$32,254 Vol.
Crystal Palace
46%
Rayo Vallecano
21%
Shakhtar Donetsk
13%
Mainz
18%
Strasbourg
6%
AEK Athens
5%
AZ Alkmaar
2%
Fiorentina
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League per the rules of the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League per the rules of the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Crystal Palace tops trader consensus at 46% implied probability after a commanding 3-0 quarter-final first-leg win over Fiorentina at Selhurst Park, showcasing Premier League depth, clinical finishing from Ismaïla Sarr and Maxence Lacroix, and defensive solidity that has propelled them through prior knockout rounds including extra-time victory over AEK Larnaca. Rayo Vallecano sits at 20% following their 3-0 home triumph against AEK Athens, highlighting La Liga grit and home form. Mainz (17.5%) holds a 2-0 edge on Strasbourg via strong Bundesliga organization, while Shakhtar Donetsk (12.5%) leads AZ Alkmaar 3-0, leveraging European experience amid Ukraine's challenges. Second-leg returns offer cushion advantages, though upsets remain possible in the race to the May final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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