Aston Villa's commanding 3-1 away win over Bologna in the UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg on April 9 has driven their 44.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite, enhanced by home advantage in the April 16 second leg and strong Premier League form including a recent 1-1 draw with Nottingham Forest. Freiburg's dominant 3-0 away victory against Celta Vigo positions them at 12.1% despite facing a comeback bid in Galicia, while evenly poised 1-1 first legs pit Real Betis (15.5%, home second leg) against Braga, and Porto (10.7%, European pedigree) versus Forest (9.2%, home advantage). No major injuries or suspensions alter the aggregates, with semis looming April 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUEFA Europa League: Winner
UEFA Europa League: Winner
Aston Villa 45%
Real Betis 16%
Freiburg 12.3%
Porto 9.9%
$3,602,390 Vol.
$3,602,390 Vol.
Aston Villa
45%
Real Betis
16%
Freiburg
12%
Porto
10%
Nott'm Forest
9%
Braga
4%
Celta
2%
Bologna
1%
Aston Villa 45%
Real Betis 16%
Freiburg 12.3%
Porto 9.9%
$3,602,390 Vol.
$3,602,390 Vol.
Aston Villa
45%
Real Betis
16%
Freiburg
12%
Porto
10%
Nott'm Forest
9%
Braga
4%
Celta
2%
Bologna
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2025, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aston Villa's commanding 3-1 away win over Bologna in the UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg on April 9 has driven their 44.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite, enhanced by home advantage in the April 16 second leg and strong Premier League form including a recent 1-1 draw with Nottingham Forest. Freiburg's dominant 3-0 away victory against Celta Vigo positions them at 12.1% despite facing a comeback bid in Galicia, while evenly poised 1-1 first legs pit Real Betis (15.5%, home second leg) against Braga, and Porto (10.7%, European pedigree) versus Forest (9.2%, home advantage). No major injuries or suspensions alter the aggregates, with semis looming April 30.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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